Swansea finally stopped their losing streak with a morale-boosting win over Oxford United and given Portsmouth's dip in form, we predict that the South Wales outfit will emerge triumphant (1-0) in Tuesday's game as well, Vitor Matos’ side remain inconsistent, collecting just 0.70 points per game overall and struggling for defensive stability. The Swans concede 2.00 goals per match, while their home record (1.00 PPG) reflects a team that often starts well but fades as games progress. Offensively, their output of 1.17 goals per home game is backed by a modest 1.11 xG, meaning they often lack the cutting edge to turn pressure into goals. The one major positive is squad availability—Matos has a full squad to choose from, which should help maintain intensity over 90 minutes.
The Pompey, on the other hand, do not seem to be at their sharpest, taking just 0.80 PPG across their last five. Their away numbers are especially concerning: 0.25 PPG, 2.75 goals conceded, and only 0.75 scored per away match. Injuries to Farrell, Ogilvie, Shaughnessy, Umeh, and Waddingham further weaken a squad already lacking depth, increasing the difficulty of grabbing a result in Wales.
Taking everything into account, Swansea to Win, Under 3.5 goals (50% H2H), and Swansea to Score First bets seem tempting.
This Championship match will be played on Tuesday 9 December 2025 at 19:45.
What is our Swansea vs Portsmouth prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Swansea 1 - 0 Portsmouth
Swansea vs Portsmouth Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Adam Idah @ 150 Odds
- To be booked: Marlon Pack @ 162 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferSwansea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llllw | 0.70 |
| Home | wlllw | 1.00 |
| Away | dlll | 0.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.83 | 2.25 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.21 | 1.11 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.58 | 1.53 | 1.66 |
Portsmouth Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwll | 0.80 |
| Home | lldwl | 1.17 |
| Away | dlll | 0.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 1.67 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 0.83 | 2.75 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.54 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.47 | 1.27 | 1.76 |
Swansea vs Portsmouth Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Swansea (0%)
4 Matches
Portsmouth (50%)
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