Swansea vs Stoke City Prediction & Betting Tips | 07/03/2026

Swansea vs Stoke City Prediction and Betting Tips | 7 March 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

5 March 2026 • 15:06 UTC • 1 min read

Swansea vs Stoke City Prediction and Betting Tips 7 March 2026

Swansea City play host to Stoke City at their Swansea.com Stadium in a Championship game where the hosts look to bounce back from a heavy 3–0 defeat to Ipswich. As Stoke do not seem to be at their sharpest, we predict a 2-0 home win. The South Wales outfit will be without injured duo Idah - Inoussa, but their home numbers remain encouraging. The Swans average 2.00 goals per game at home, while collecting 2.00 points per match in front of their fans. Their matches in Wales also produce 2.83 goals on average, with 67% of home games seeing both teams score.

Stoke City head into the contest after a 2–1 loss to Coventry City, and their overall form has been worrying. The Potters have taken only 0.70 points per game of late and are still searching for their first away win (0%). Stoke average just 0.50 goals per away match, while their expected goals on the road stand at 0.78, highlighting their attacking struggles. There are no fresh injury worries for the visiting team, but that is unlikely to help them avoid defeat Bet365 Stadium.

Given Swansea's strong home form vs Stoke’s poor away record, punters from all around the globe can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside Both Teams to Score (Swansea home BTTS rate stands at 67%), and Over 1.5 Goals (90% of H2H meetings cleared this line).

This Championship match will be played on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 15:00.

What is our Swansea vs Stoke City prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Swansea 2 - 0 Stoke City

Swansea vs Stoke City Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-0 @ 750 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -120 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Adam Idah @ 150 Odds
First Goalscorer: Adam Idah @ 450 Odds
To be Booked: Ben Pearson @ 105 Odds
Asian Handicap: Swansea 0 @ -267 Odds
European Handicap: Swansea +1 @ -450 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -334 Odds
Draw No Bet: Swansea to Win @ -275 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: Swansea to Win/Swansea to Win @ 210 Odds
Clean Sheet: Swansea - Yes @ 137 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Swansea vs Stoke City?

You can place your bets on Swansea vs Stoke City at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Swansea Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ddwlwwlwdl	1.50
Home	ddwwwd	2.00
Away	lwll	0.75

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	50%	25%
Average Goals Per Game	2.70	2.83	2.50
Scored	1.50	2.00	0.75
Conceded	1.20	0.83	1.75
BTTS	50%	67%	25%
Clean Sheets	30%	33%	25%
Failed to Score	20%	0%	50%
Expected Goals	1.57	1.66	1.44
Expected Goals Against	1.18	1.01	1.42

Stoke City Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dldldlldwl	0.70
Home	dllldw	0.83
Away	ddll	0.50

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	10%	17%	0%
Average Goals Per Game	2.10	2.50	1.50
Scored	0.80	1.00	0.50
Conceded	1.30	1.50	1.00
BTTS	60%	67%	50%
Clean Sheets	20%	17%	25%
Failed to Score	40%	33%	50%
Expected Goals	1.15	1.40	0.78
Expected Goals Against	1.53	1.44	1.67