Watford host Birmingham City in a Championship clash where the Hornets aim to continue their strong run. As the Hornets look unstoppable in late December, our prediction leans toward a 2-1 home win. Watford are unbeaten in four of their last five (ddwww) and average 1.90 points per game, with their attack scoring 1.60 goals per match while conceding just 1.20. At Vicarage Road, they’ve been solid, keeping clean sheets in 20% of home games, and it has to be noted that they have no fresh injury worries.
Birmingham City have struggled away from home, failing to win in their last five road games and averaging only 0.20 points per away match. The Blues score an average of 0.80 goals away, while conceding 2.20, highlighting defensive frailties. H2H stats favour Watford, who have won 10 of the last 17 encounters, compared to Birmingham’s 5 victories, though many matches have seen goals. Adding to their woes, important midfielder Thomas Doyle misses out through suspension.
With Watford’s home form and Birmingham’s away struggles, the Hornets are favourites in this encounter. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting pick for this matchup, alongside Over 2.5 goals and BTTS.
This Championship match will be played on Thursday 1 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Watford vs Birmingham City prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Watford 2 - 1 Birmingham City
Watford vs Birmingham City Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Luca Kjerrumgaard @ 160 Odds
- To be booked: Imran Louza @ 160 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferWatford Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwww | 1.90 |
| Home | ddwdw | 1.80 |
| Away | wldww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 1.97 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 1.03 | 1.30 |
Birmingham City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldldd | 1.00 |
| Home | wwddd | 1.80 |
| Away | ldlll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.69 | 2.06 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.17 | 1.68 |
Watford vs Birmingham City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Watford (59%)
17 Matches
Birmingham City (29%)
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