Watford look to build on their impressive 3–0 victory over Birmingham City as they take on Millwall on Matchday 27. Given Millwall's poor form, our prediction points toward a 1-0 home win. Rocco Vata remains sidelined, but his absence has not hampered Valerien Ismael’s side, who are enjoying a strong run with four wins in their last five matches. At home, the Hornets average 1.80 goals scored, concede just 0.80, and produce a solid 1.84 expected goals, showing a strong foundation at both ends. Their matches feature goals—70% BTTS overall—but their defensive structure at home has been reliable.
The capital club, meanwhile, travel with a long injury list, missing Cundle, De Norre, Jensen, Luongo and Smallbone. Despite this, their recent form isn’t poor, earning eight points from their last five. However, scoring remains a problem away from home: the Lions average only 0.60 goals per away match and fail to score in 40% of those fixtures. Defensively, they remain competitive with 40% clean sheets away, but lack cutting edge going forward.
H2H history slightly favours Watford (9–7–4), and current form—especially at home—gives them the edge. Given aforementioned statistical data, we predict Home Win, with additional value on Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals as Millwall struggle to score away and Watford concede little at home.
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 17 January 2026 at 12:30.
What is our Watford vs Millwall prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Watford 1 - 0 Millwall
Watford vs Millwall Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Luca Kjerrumgaard @ 162 Odds
- To be booked: Jake Cooper @ 150 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferWatford Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwl | 1.80 |
| Home | dwdww | 2.20 |
| Away | ldwwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.84 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.20 | 0.99 | 1.41 |
Millwall Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdwl | 1.50 |
| Home | wldww | 2.00 |
| Away | wdldl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.49 | 1.67 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.54 | 1.44 |
Watford vs Millwall Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Watford (45%)
20 Matches
Millwall (35%)
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