Watford will look to return to winning ways following a 1–1 draw with Blackburn as they return to Vicarage Road with no fresh injury concerns. However, we predict a 1-1 draw as the two teams seem to be evenly matched at the moment. The Hornets have been consistent if not spectacular, averaging 1.60 points per game overall, and their home numbers mirror that stability. Javi Gracia's side score 1.20 goals per home match while conceding just 0.80, backed by solid underlying metrics (xG 1.61, xGA 0.98 at home). Their matches tend to be controlled affairs, with only 40% of home games seeing both teams score.
Swansea, meanwhile, still feel the absence of long-term injured forward Adam Idah, and it showed in the 2–1 loss at Hull. The Swans remain unpredictable on the road, losing four of their last five away matches and scoring just 0.80 goals per away game. Their xGA away sits at a worrying 1.53, indicating persistent struggles at the back. There are no fresh injury worries in the South Wales outfit.
Historically, this fixture has been tight, with BTTS landing in 50% of the last 22 meetings, though only 36% went over 2.5 goals. As Watford home matches average just 2.0 goals and H2H history leans low-scoring, we are tempted to bet on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 31 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Watford vs Swansea prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Watford 1 - 1 Swansea
Watford vs Swansea Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Amin Nabizada @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Amin Nabizada @ 500 Odds
- To be booked: Imran Louza @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Swansea +0.5 @ -138 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferWatford Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlldd | 1.60 |
| Home | dwwld | 1.60 |
| Away | dwwld | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.36 | 1.61 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.15 | 0.98 | 1.31 |
Swansea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddwl | 1.40 |
| Home | wwddw | 2.20 |
| Away | llwll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.61 | 1.80 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.29 | 1.05 | 1.53 |
Watford vs Swansea Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Watford (36%)
22 Matches
Swansea (41%)
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