Ajax vs Benfica Prediction & Betting Tips | 25/11/2025

Ajax vs Benfica Prediction and Betting Tips | 25 November 2025

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

24 November 2025 • 08:22 UTC • 1 min read

Ajax vs Benfica Prediction and Betting Tips 25 November 2025

Ajax will be desperate to recover from a shocking Eredivisie loss to Excelsior, but given their defensive struggles, we predict that the Amsterdammers will suffer a 2-1 loss to Benfica in Tuesday’s Champions League game. New Ajax boss Fred Grim has been struggling to help the team improve their game, with the Dutch outfit conceding 2 goals per game in the last 5 fixtures in all competitions. Adding to their woes, important forward Steven Berghuis misses out with a groin problem.

The Eagles, on the other hand, are desperate to record their first win of the process. As experienced defender Nicolas Otamendi is back for the visiting side, away win should be considered. It has to be noted that 3 goals per game have been netted in Benfica’s last 5 outings in all competitions.

Given Ajax’s shaky defence, there is a big value in betting on Benfica Over 1.5 goals. Away Win and Over 2.5 goals go in favour with our betting prediction as well as 83% of Ajax’s last 6 games have feature 2 or more goals.

This Champions League match will be played on Tuesday 25 November 2025 at 17:45.

What is our Ajax vs Benfica prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Ajax 1 - 2 Benfica

Ajax vs Benfica Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-2
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Goalscorer: Vangelis Pavlidis @ -105 Odds
To be booked: Leandro Barreiro @ 187 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds

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Ajax Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wdlll	0.80
Home	wldll	0.80
Away	ldlwl	0.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	20%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	3.70	2.60	4.80
Scored	1.20	0.80	1.60
Conceded	2.50	1.80	3.20
BTTS	70%	60%	80%
Clean Sheets	0%	0%	0%
Failed to Score	30%	40%	20%
Expected Goals	1.33	1.46	1.18
Expected Goals Against	1.70	1.57	1.84

Benfica Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwldw	1.70
Home	wwld	1.75
Away	dwlww	1.67

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Average Goals Per Game	2.40	3.25	1.83
Scored	1.70	2.50	1.17
Conceded	0.70	0.75	0.67
BTTS	10%	25%	0%
Clean Sheets	60%	50%	67%
Failed to Score	40%	25%	50%
Expected Goals	1.70	2.01	1.50
Expected Goals Against	1.03	0.77	1.20