A spot in the Champions League quarter-finals is practically secured after Bayern Munich demolished Atalanta 6–1 in the first leg, but the German giants will still want to finish the job professionally in Munich. As Vincent Kompany's men have turned their Allianz Arena into a real fortress, we predict a 3-1 home win. Both Joshua Kimmich and Michael Olise are suspended, yet Bayern's depth means they remain overwhelming favourites—especially with Harry Kane back fit. Their home numbers are elite: 100% wins, 4.50 goals per game, and an impressive 2.51 xG average in Munich.
Atalanta, meanwhile, arrive with Yunus Musah banned and morale low. Their recent form (L-D-D-L-D) reflects a side struggling to control matches, though they still pose a scoring threat—80% BTTS overall and 2.60 total goals per away match. Defensive issues remain their downfall, with just 20% away clean sheets and 1.40 goals conceded per trip. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team.
Given Bayern Munich's recent perfect home record, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win. Additionally, Over 3.5 goals and BTTS markets seem tempting as the two sides average a combined 7.7 goals per game across recent form.
This Champions League match will be played on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Bayern Munich vs Atalanta prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Bayern Munich 3 - 1 Atalanta
Bayern Munich vs Atalanta Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Harry Kane @ -150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Harry Kane @ 333 Odds
- To be Booked: Marten de Roon @ 333 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Bayern Munich -1 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Bayern Munich -1 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -700 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Bayern Munich to Win @ -800 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Bayern Munich to Win/Bayern Munich to Win @ -105 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Bayern Munich - No @ -225 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Bayern Munich vs Atalanta?
You can place your bets on Bayern Munich vs Atalanta at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferBayern Munich Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwwwwwwd | 2.60 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wdwwwd | 2.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.20 | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.83 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.18 | 2.51 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 0.99 | 1.45 |
Atalanta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwwlddld | 1.50 |
| Home | wwwdl | 2.00 |
| Away | wlldd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.72 | 1.92 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.44 | 1.27 |
Bayern Munich vs Atalanta Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Bayern Munich (100%)
1 Matches
Atalanta (0%)
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