After outplaying Atalanta 3-1 in the Serie A derby, we predict that Napoli will give fans yet another reason to celebrate with a 2-1 win over Qarabag in the Champions League round 5. The Neapolitans are still dealing with important absences, with all Kevin De Bruyne, Frank Anguissa, and Romelu Lukaku remaining in the recovery room. The trio, though, was not missed as all in the aforementioned triumph over Atalanta. Therefore, we predict that Antonio Conte will continue relying on pacey winger David Neres, who scored a brace against the Orobici. Rasmus Hojlund is expected to recover in time to face Qarabag, a boost that should significantly strengthen Napoli’s chances of claiming all three points.
The Azeri, on the other hand, are eager to claim yet another major scalp in the 2025/2026 Champions League campaign after defeating both Benfica and Copenhagen in the process. Qarabag did well to hold Chelsea to a 2-2 draw in round 4, but it has to be noted that the Blues could not count on several first-team regulars for that match. With Qarabag averaging 2 goals per game in the Champions League, Away Team Over 0.5 goals is definitely worth considering. Kady Borges is rate doubtful for the visiting side.
With Napoli winning 75% of their 8 home games in all competitions this season, Home Win seems like a sure betting option. David Neres to score market has a value also as the former Benfica and Ajax man impressed in the triumph over Atalanta.
This Champions League match will be played on Tuesday 25 November 2025 at 20:00.
What is our Napoli vs Qarabag prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Napoli 2 - 1 Qarabag
Napoli vs Qarabag Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Lorenzo Lucca @ -138 Odds
- To be booked: Kevin Medina @ 162 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferNapoli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddlw | 1.70 |
| Home | wwddw | 2.33 |
| Away | llwl | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.67 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.67 | 2.25 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.43 | 1.45 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.22 | 1.15 | 1.33 |
Qarabag Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdww | 2.30 |
| Home | wdwdw | 2.43 |
| Away | wlw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 71% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 1.86 | 4.33 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.57 | 2.33 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.29 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 14% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 86% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 14% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.71 | 1.80 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.15 | 1.03 | 1.39 |
Napoli vs Qarabag Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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