Real Betis welcome Atletico Madrid to the Benito Villamarin for a Copa del Rey quarter-final, aiming to extend their outstanding home form. However, we predict a 1-1 draw as both sides are likely to adopt a cautious approach. Manuel Pellegrini’s side have won five straight home matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and conceding just 0.6 per game during that run. Pablo Fornals, who scored in the recent 2-1 win over Valencia, is expected to return to the starting XI and should add creativity between the lines.
Atletico travel to Andalusia without Alexander Sorloth, whose injury forces Julian Alvarez back into the lineup. Despite being unbeaten in their last five away matches, Atleti’s attack has struggled for volume, scoring exactly one goal in each of their last five away games. Their defensive record remains strong, with 0.67 goals conceded per away match and 50% clean sheets overall, but they will be tested by a Betis side generating 1.59 expected goals at home. January signing Ademola Lookman unlikely to feature for los Rojiblancos.
Historically, Atleti dominate this fixture with 21 wins in 29 meetings, yet Betis’ current momentum suggests a tighter contest. Therefore, we believe that there is big value in betting on Draw and Half-Time draw alongside Under 2.5 Goals (Atleti’s away matches are tight, with low scoring output).
This Copa del Rey match will be played on Thursday 5 February 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Betis vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Betis 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid
Betis vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alexander Sorloth @ 375 Odds
- To be booked: Ademola Lookman @ 110 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Atletico Madrid +0.5 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -125 Odds
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View OfferBetis Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllww | 1.90 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wldll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.64 | 1.59 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.40 | 1.70 |
Atletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwld | 1.80 |
| Home | lwwl | 1.50 |
| Away | wdwdd | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.50 | 2.17 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.87 | 2.47 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 0.98 | 1.32 |
Betis vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Betis (10%)
29 Matches
Atletico Madrid (72%)
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