Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Prediction & Betting Tips | 13/01/2026

Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Prediction and Betting Tips | 13 January 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

12 January 2026 • 15:01 UTC • 1 min read

Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Prediction and Betting Tips 13 January 2026

Real Sociedad face Osasuna in a tense Copa del Rey Basque-regional showdown, where geography and rivalry often add extra edge. However, we predict a 2-1 home win as los Rojillos are not regarded as good travellers. La Real are boosted by a 2-1 win over Getafe, though Benat Turrientes is expected to miss out. Despite their overall form of 1.50 points per game, Sociedad’s home numbers remain puzzlingly poor, with just 0.33 PPG and 0% win rate. Still, they average 3.33 goals per home match, largely due to high-scoring, chaotic encounters where they concede 2.00 goals on average. Their expected goals of 1.87 at home suggests they create enough to trouble Osasuna.

The visitors travel to San Sebastian following a narrow 1-0 defeat to Girona but with no fresh injury concerns. Osasuna’s overall figures are steady—1.40 PPG and 1.53 expected goals—while their away matches tend to be open, averaging 3.67 total goals. However, they have failed to score in 50% of away games and kept 0% clean sheets, a concern against a Sociedad side that rarely blanks.

As Osasuna are vulnerable away and struggle to keep clean sheets, we predict Home Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Real Sociedad Over 1.5 goals.

This Copa del Rey match will be played on Tuesday 13 January 2026 at 20:00.

What is our Real Sociedad vs Osasuna prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Real Sociedad 2 - 1 Osasuna

Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-1
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Goalscorer: Mikel Oyarzabal @ 137 Odds
To be booked: Roberto Arroyo @ 175 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds

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Real Sociedad Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lwddw	1.50
Home	lld	0.33
Away	wlwdw	2.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	0%	57%
Average Goals Per Game	2.70	3.33	2.43
Scored	1.50	1.33	1.57
Conceded	1.20	2.00	0.86
BTTS	80%	100%	71%
Clean Sheets	10%	0%	14%
Failed to Score	10%	0%	14%
Expected Goals	1.61	1.87	1.50
Expected Goals Against	1.22	1.34	1.17

Osasuna Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lwwdl	1.40
Home	lwwd	1.75
Away	dwlwl	1.17

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Average Goals Per Game	3.30	2.75	3.67
Scored	1.80	1.75	1.83
Conceded	1.50	1.00	1.83
BTTS	50%	50%	50%
Clean Sheets	20%	50%	0%
Failed to Score	30%	0%	50%
Expected Goals	1.53	1.51	1.54
Expected Goals Against	1.50	1.57	1.45