Fiorentina vs Como Prediction & Betting Tips | 27/01/2026

Fiorentina vs Como Prediction and Betting Tips | 27 January 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

27 January 2026 • 08:53 UTC • 1 min read

Fiorentina vs Como Prediction and Betting Tips 27 January 2026

Fiorentina welcome Como to the Stadio Artemio Franchi in the Coppa Italia 16 tie where the hosts aim to avoid an upset despite several injury concerns. As Fiorentina aim to save the season by going all the way in the Italian Cup, we predict a 2-1 home win. Both Parisi and Lamptey are sidelined for the hosts, while Moise Kean remains doubtful, weakening Paolo Vanoli’s attacking options. La Viola have been unreliable recently, averaging 1.40 points per game overall, though their home output is stronger at 1.67 PPG. Fiorentina score 1.83 goals per home match, supported by an impressive xG of 2.06, but defensive issues persist, with only 17% clean sheets at home and BTTS occurring in 83% of their matches in Florence.

Cesc Fabregas' men travel to Florence in excellent form, winning four of their last five and averaging 1.90 PPG, with a balanced attack producing 2.00 goals per game and a solid defensive record of 0.90 conceded. Their clean-sheet rate sits at 60%, showing notable improvement under Osian Roberts. However, away win should not be considered as Como's main goal is to book their spot in the Champions League.

Despite Como’s strong momentum, Home Win is our main betting tip as Fiorentina want this win more. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals and Fiorentina Over 1.5 markets boast big value as both sides average nearly 3.0 total goals.

This Coppa Italia match will be played on Tuesday 27 January 2026 at 20:00.

What is our Fiorentina vs Como prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Fiorentina 2 - 1 Como

Fiorentina vs Como Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-1
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5

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Fiorentina Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wddwl	1.40
Home	lwwdl	1.67
Away	lldw	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	50%	25%
Average Goals Per Game	2.70	3.00	2.25
Scored	1.50	1.83	1.00
Conceded	1.20	1.17	1.25
BTTS	70%	83%	50%
Clean Sheets	10%	17%	0%
Failed to Score	20%	0%	50%
Expected Goals	1.82	2.06	1.46
Expected Goals Against	1.34	1.07	1.74

Como Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wdlww	1.90
Home	wwdlw	2.00
Away	llwww	1.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	60%	60%
Average Goals Per Game	2.90	3.00	2.80
Scored	2.00	2.20	1.80
Conceded	0.90	0.80	1.00
BTTS	20%	40%	0%
Clean Sheets	60%	60%	60%
Failed to Score	20%	0%	40%
Expected Goals	1.65	1.84	1.46
Expected Goals Against	1.05	0.80	1.31