Lorient come into this Coupe de France last-16 tie in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches and averaging 2.40 points per game overall. Therefore, we predict that they will defeat Paris FC 2-1 in front of home fans. Les Merlus look confident both home and away, with their home form particularly strong: 2.50 PPG, 75% win rate, and 2.50 goals per home match. Lorient’s attack has been highly efficient, scoring 2.30 goals per game and producing 1.55 expected goals, while conceding only 0.60, showing solid defensive balance. Their 2-1 win over Nantes last week further confirmed the team’s upward momentum.
Paris FC, meanwhile, showed resilience in a 2-2 draw with Marseille, where Jonathan Ikone struck twice and is now pushing for a start. Their overall form remains inconsistent (1.30 PPG), but they’ve been more competitive away from home, collecting 1.67 PPG with a 50% win rate. Paris FC average 1.50 goals scored in away fixtures and hold 50% clean sheets, suggesting they can be disciplined when needed. However, their lower attacking metrics (1.17 xG) highlight limitations when facing stronger opponents.
Given Lorient's splendid form and fine home numbers, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals (Lorient 2.90 avg goals, Paris FC 2.50 avg goals) and Lorient Over 1.5.
This Coupe de France match will be played on Wednesday 4 February 2026 at 19:30.
What is our Lorient vs Paris FC prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lorient 2 - 1 Paris FC
Lorient vs Paris FC Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Ciro Immobile @ 175 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Ciro Immobile @ 500 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Lorient 0 @ -160 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -300 Odds
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View OfferLorient Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwww | 2.40 |
| Home | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Away | dwwww | 2.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.50 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 1.75 | 2.67 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 1.50 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.28 | 0.98 | 1.48 |
Paris FC Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwdd | 1.30 |
| Home | dldd | 0.75 |
| Away | dwlww | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.25 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.12 | 1.05 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.16 | 1.58 |
Lorient vs Paris FC Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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