Montpellier are eager to claim a major scalp in the Coupe de France, but we predict a 2-1 home win as Nice will not have a better chance than this to get back on course. Les Aiglons aim to steady the ship after an inconsistent run of results, collecting just 1.20 PPG across their last five games. The return of key defender Juma Bah from suspension is a major boost for a back line that has failed to keep a single clean sheet recently and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Offensively, Nice are creating enough (1.41 xG), scoring 1.40 goals on average and failing to score in 30% of matches.
La Paillade, despite being a Ligue 2 side, travel in spirited form with three wins in their last four. Their away record is impressive (1.86 PPG, 57% win rate), and they concede just 0.57 goals per away match, supported by a solid 1.12 xGA. Defender Yael Mouanga is likely sidelined after a knock, but the team has shown resilience, producing 57% clean sheets away and balanced scoring at 1.43 goals per match.
Given their quality and home advantage, Nice are seen as favourites to win this tie. Therefore, Home Win is our main betting pick alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals as Nice games average 3.00 goals and Montpellier away 2.00.
This Coupe de France match will be played on Wednesday 4 February 2026 at 19:30.
What is our Nice vs Montpellier prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Nice 2 - 1 Montpellier
Nice vs Montpellier Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Zoumana Diallo @ -125 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Zoumana Diallo @ 300 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Nice -0.5 @ -149 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -450 Odds
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View OfferNice Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwld | 1.20 |
| Home | lwdwd | 1.60 |
| Away | ldlwl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.41 | 1.49 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.65 | 1.35 | 1.94 |
Montpellier Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlww | 1.60 |
| Home | llw | 1.00 |
| Away | dwwlw | 1.86 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 33% | 57% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.33 | 1.43 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.67 | 0.57 |
| BTTS | 30% | 67% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 0% | 57% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.37 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.19 | 1.33 | 1.12 |
Nice vs Montpellier Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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