Toulouse welcome Amiens to the Stadium Municipal for a Coupe de France last-16 clash, entering the tie as clear favourites based on form, depth, and overall metrics. Therefore, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-0 home win. Les Pitchouns remain without Azizi, Francis, Magri and Methalie, but crucially report no fresh injury concerns. Toulouse have lost just once in their last five (LDWWD) and boast a strong attacking profile, averaging 1.60 goals per game and generating 1.42 xG overall. Their home form has been less consistent (1.40 PPG), yet they still keep 40% clean sheets at home, highlighting improved defensive structure.
Amiens, who edged past lower-league Montreuil in the previous round, face a considerable step up in quality. Their away numbers look competitive at first glance — 57% win rate and 1.86 goals scored per game — but they concede 1.14 goals on their travels and post a worrying 1.64 xGA, suggesting vulnerability against stronger Ligue 1 attacks. With Toulouse unbeaten in five home matches across all competitions, the Ligue 2 side will need a near-perfect performance to pull off an upset.
Considering huge gap in quality between the two teams and Toulouse's better expected goals profile, Home Win is our main betting tip, alongside Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals as Toulouse home matches average 2.20 goals.
This Coupe de France match will be played on Wednesday 4 February 2026 at 19:30.
What is our Toulouse vs Amiens prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Toulouse 2 - 0 Amiens
Toulouse vs Amiens Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Asian Handicap: Toulouse -1.5 @ -122 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -800 Odds
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View OfferToulouse Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwwd | 1.80 |
| Home | lwlwd | 1.40 |
| Away | dwwdw | 2.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.53 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 1.15 | 1.20 |
Amiens Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwldl | 1.30 |
| Home | lld | 0.33 |
| Away | wwwll | 1.71 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 0% | 57% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 0.67 | 1.86 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.33 | 1.14 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Expected Goals | 1.13 | 1.30 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.31 | 1.64 |
Toulouse vs Amiens Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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