Troyes vs Lens Prediction & Betting Tips | 04/02/2026

Troyes vs Lens Prediction and Betting Tips | 4 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

3 February 2026 • 09:16 UTC • 1 min read

Troyes vs Lens Prediction and Betting Tips 4 February 2026

Troyes host Ligue 1 giants Lens in the Coupe de France last-16, hoping to respond after a disappointing 0–2 league defeat to Le Mans. However, our prediction leans toward a 3-0 away win as Lens are enjoying a season to remember. The good news for the hosts is the absence of fresh injury concerns, and their recent numbers at home remain competitive: 1.75 points per game, 50% home win rate, and 1.69 xG at the Stade de l’Aube. However, despite winning seven of their last ten overall, Troyes have shown defensive fragility lately, conceding in three of their last four matches.

Lens arrive in excellent form, boosted by the return of forward Morgan Guilavogui from suspension after their convincing 3–0 win over Sochaux in the previous round. Les Sang et Or have been dominant across competitions. They are still in the Ligue 1 title race with PSG, posting 2.70 PPG, 90% win rate, and producing 1.87 xG per match. Their away attack in particular stands out — 3.20 average goals per game, scoring 2.20 goals on the road while keeping a clean sheet in 40% of away fixtures. With five straight home wins and only one defeat in their last ten, Lens look well-positioned to progress.

Given Lens' superior quality and elite expected goals data, Away Win seems like a sure bet, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Lens Over 1.5 as their matches average 3.20 goals.

This Coupe de France match will be played on Wednesday 4 February 2026 at 20:00.

What is our Troyes vs Lens prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Troyes 0 - 3 Lens

Troyes vs Lens Betting Tips

Correct Score: 0-3
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Asian Handicap: Lens -0.5 @ -191 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: X2 @ -550 Odds

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Troyes Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwwll	2.20
Home	dwwl	1.75
Away	wwwwl	2.50

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	50%	83%
Average Goals Per Game	2.10	2.00	2.17
Scored	1.40	1.00	1.67
Conceded	0.70	1.00	0.50
BTTS	40%	50%	33%
Clean Sheets	40%	25%	50%
Failed to Score	20%	25%	17%
Expected Goals	1.51	1.69	1.40
Expected Goals Against	1.17	1.10	1.22

Lens Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwwlw	2.70
Home	wwwww	3.00
Away	wwwwl	2.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	90%	100%	80%
Average Goals Per Game	2.50	1.80	3.20
Scored	1.90	1.60	2.20
Conceded	0.60	0.20	1.00
BTTS	40%	20%	60%
Clean Sheets	60%	80%	40%
Failed to Score	0%	0%	0%
Expected Goals	1.87	1.91	1.83
Expected Goals Against	0.90	0.81	1.00