All eyes will be on Wembley Stadium when Arsenal and Manchester City lock horns in the EFL Cup final. As the two teams seem to be evenly matched at the moment, we predict a 1-1 draw. The Gunners are on the right track to regain the Premier League trophy, but they surely want to go all the way in the EFL Cup as well. Mikel Arteta’s men have been scoring 2.20 goals per game of late, but their expected goals remain at only 1.06, suggesting lack of creativity up front. All Mikel Merino, Jurrien Timber, and Martin Odegaard are sidelined with injuries, but Arteta can fill the gap.
The Citizens, on the other hand, aim to save the season by lifting the EFL Cup trophy. As Pep Guardiola usually adopts a defence-minded approach in the title games, a low-scoring affair is on the cards at Wembley. Man City’s expected goal against of 1.18 goes in favour of our betting angle. Josko Guardiol should be the only absentee in the visiting team.
As both sides are likely to adopt a cautious approach in the decider, we are tempted to place our bets on Under 2.5 goals. Additionally, Over 3.5 yellow cards and Half-Time Draw bets seem interesting.
This EFL Cup match will be played on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:30.
What is our Arsenal vs Man City prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Arsenal 1 - 1 Man City
Arsenal vs Man City Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Erling Haaland @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Erling Haaland @ 375 Odds
- To be Booked: Jurrien Timber @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Man City +0.5 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Man City +1 @ -188 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -188 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 400 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Arsenal - No @ -275 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Arsenal vs Man City?
You can place your bets on Arsenal vs Man City at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferArsenal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwdwwwwdw | 2.40 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | ddwwwd | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 2.75 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 0.70 | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.69 | 2.06 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.06 | 0.87 | 1.18 |
Man City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwwdwld | 2.30 |
| Home | wwwwd | 2.60 |
| Away | wwwld | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.95 | 1.93 | 1.98 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.17 |
Arsenal vs Man City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Arsenal (26%)
46 Matches
Man City (50%)
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