A place in the EFL Cup final will be at stake when Chelsea and Arsenal lock horns at Stamford Bridge on Wednesday evening. As both sides are likely to adopt a cautious approach, our prediction leans toward a 1-1 draw. The Blues faced no difficulties in the FA Cup last 64, with the team crushing Charlton Athletic 5-1. Chelsea aim to give fans yet another reason to celebrate and their expected goals numbers at home (1.80) are surely a positive sign ahead of the London derby. Liam Rosenior rested several first-team regulars at the weekend, but the new manager is going to field the best possible side against Arsenal, with all Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, Pedro Neto, and Joao Pedro returning to starting XI.
The Gunners, on the other hand, came from behind to beat Portsmouth 4-1 in their FA Cup game. Mikel Arteta obviously wants to win everything and we are positive that the Spanish tactician is going to field the best possible side in the EFL Cup showdown. As Arsenal have been scoring 2.40 goals per away game of late, Both Teams to Score markets seems appealing. Defender Piero Hincapie is unlikely to feature for the Gunners after picking up a knock in the FA Cup triumph, while all Odegaard, Zubimendi, Saka, Rice, Gyokeres and Timber return to the starting eleven.
As previously mentioned, a close encounter is on the cards. Arsenal look solid at the back and Chelsea are capable of defending at home. Therefore, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting tip for the London derby, alongside Over 4.5 yellow cards.
This EFL Cup match will be played on Wednesday 14 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Chelsea vs Arsenal prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Chelsea 1 - 1 Arsenal
Chelsea vs Arsenal Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Viktor Gyokeres @ 160 Odds
- To be booked: Dario Essugo @ 100 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
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View OfferChelsea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddlw | 1.30 |
| Home | wld | 1.33 |
| Away | wddlw | 1.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.00 | 3.14 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.67 | 1.86 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| BTTS | 80% | 67% | 86% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.76 | 1.80 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.46 | 1.49 | 1.45 |
Arsenal Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdw | 2.30 |
| Home | wdwwd | 2.20 |
| Away | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.90 | 2.06 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.11 | 0.82 | 1.40 |
Chelsea vs Arsenal Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Chelsea (37%)
46 Matches
Arsenal (37%)
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