Man City look to defend their two-goal lead in the EFL Cup tie with Newcastle as the two teams face each other at Etihad Stadium. As Newcastle are not regarded as good travellers, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Citizens dropped two points in a 2-2 draw with Tottenham at the weekend and, no doubt, they aim to return to winning ways as soon as possible. Their expected goals of 1.82 at home is surely giving fans a reason for optimism ahead of Newcastle’s visit. Important midfielder Rayan Cherki is a major doubt after picking up a knock at the weekend, but Pep Guardiola has strength in depth.
The Magpies, meanwhile, experienced all sorts of problems at the back in a 4-1 loss at Liverpool, with the team extending their winless run to three games in all competitions. As Eddie Howe’s men have been conceding 1.50 goals per away game of late, we are not tempted to place our bets on the underdogs. The fact that key midfielder Bruno Guimaraes has been struggling with injury definitely supports our betting prediction.
Newcastle United suit Man City, with the Citizens winning 77% of their H2H meetings. Therefore, Home Win should be considered, alongside Over 2.5 goals (59%) and Man City Over 1.5.
This EFL Cup match will be played on Wednesday 4 February 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Man City vs Newcastle prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Man City 2 - 1 Newcastle
Man City vs Newcastle Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Erling Haaland @ -163 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Erling Haaland @ 260 Odds
- To be Booked: Sandro Tonali @ 210 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Man City -0.5 @ -122 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
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View OfferMan City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwd | 1.60 |
| Home | ddwww | 2.20 |
| Away | dwlld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 3.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.68 | 1.82 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.05 | 0.82 | 1.28 |
Newcastle Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwldl | 1.50 |
| Home | wdlwl | 1.67 |
| Away | wddl | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.67 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.63 | 1.56 | 1.73 |
Man City vs Newcastle Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Man City (77%)
39 Matches
Newcastle (10%)
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