San Marino’s dreadful winless run shows little sign of ending, with their last victory coming back in November 2024. The minnows have since struggled badly against stronger opposition and suffered defeats to Bangladesh and Azerbaijan in their two most recent warm-up games. Filippo Terni and Simone Tamagnini could make their international debuts, but San Marino have won none of their last 10 matches and have conceded 3.70 goals per game during that run.
Finland, meanwhile, arrive after back-to-back defeats to Germany and Hungary, but they should see this as an opportunity to get their Nations League campaign off to a winning start. Joel Pohjanpalo is the man to watch after continuing to produce fine displays for Palermo, while the likes of Kaan Kairinen and Glen Kamara return to the squad. Finland have won just 14% of their last seven away matches, although San Marino’s defensive record could give them plenty of opportunities.
San Marino have conceded 2.80 goals per game in their last five home matches, while Finland have scored in four of their last seven away games. Finland to Win looks the obvious starting point, with Over 1.5 Goals also appealing, and Finland Over 1.5 Goals worth considering given San Marino’s 3.70 goals conceded per game overall.
This Nations League match will be played on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 17:00.
What is our San Marino vs Finland prediction?
Our prediction for this match: San Marino 0 - 3 Finland
San Marino vs Finland Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-3 @ 450 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Joel Pohjanpalo @ -163 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Joel Pohjanpalo @ 275 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Finland -2.5 @ -122 Odds
- European Handicap: Finland -2 @ -120 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -3300 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Finland to Win @ -8000 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Finland to Win/Finland to Win @ -275 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Finland - Yes @ -300 Odds
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View OfferSan Marino Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llllllldll | 0.10 |
| Home | llldl | 0.20 |
| Away | lllll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.20 | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| Scored | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 3.70 | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 0.73 | 0.91 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.33 |
Finland Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwllwwdll | 1.00 |
| Home | wlw | 2.00 |
| Away | lllwdll | 0.57 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 67% | 14% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.67 | 2.86 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 2.00 | 0.71 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 0.67 | 2.14 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 43% |
| Expected Goals | 1.21 | 1.86 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 0.60 | 1.72 |
San Marino vs Finland Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
San Marino (0%)
2 Matches
Finland (100%)
San Marino vs Finland Past Results
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