AEK Athens vs Celje Prediction & Betting Tips | 19/03/2026

AEK Athens vs Celje Prediction and Betting Tips | 19 March 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

16 March 2026 • 12:34 UTC • 1 min read

AEK Athens vs Celje Prediction and Betting Tips 19 March 2026

AEK Athens will be looking to wrap up this Europa Conference League tie after a commanding 4-0 win in the first leg. Given the huge gap in quality between the two sides, we predict a 3-1 home win. The Greeks have been in fine form, unbeaten in their last five matches (wdwwd), with a strong home record of 75% wins. AEK scores an average of 2.75 goals per home match while conceding just 0.25, showing defensive solidity and attacking efficiency. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.61 at home also reflects the quality of chances they create. No fresh injury concerns give manager continuity in selection.

Celje face an uphill battle, with goalkeeper Luka Kolar injured, although he is not a regular starter. The Slovenians have struggled on the road, winning only one of their last six away matches, and they average 1.50 goals per away game while conceding 1.83. Despite scoring in most games (BTTS 67% away), overturning a four-goal deficit looks highly unlikely.

Given AEK's strong home form and a 4-0 lead, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals and AEK/AEK.

This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 17:45.

What is our AEK Athens vs Celje prediction?

Our prediction for this match: AEK Athens 3 - 1 Celje

AEK Athens vs Celje Betting Tips

Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1000 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 100 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 125 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Barnabas Varga @ -138 Odds
First Goalscorer: Barnabas Varga @ 300 Odds
Asian Handicap: AEK Athens -1.5 @ -138 Odds
European Handicap: AEK Athens -1 @ -138 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 12 @ -900 Odds
Draw No Bet: AEK Athens to Win @ -1200 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: AEK Athens to Win/AEK Athens to Win @ -138 Odds
Clean Sheet: AEK Athens - No @ -120 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on AEK Athens vs Celje?

You can place your bets on AEK Athens vs Celje at the following bookmakers:

18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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AEK Athens Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwdwdwdwwd	2.20
Home	wdww	2.50
Away	wwddwd	2.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	75%	50%
Average Goals Per Game	2.80	2.75	2.83
Scored	2.30	2.50	2.17
Conceded	0.50	0.25	0.67
BTTS	30%	25%	33%
Clean Sheets	70%	75%	67%
Failed to Score	10%	0%	17%
Expected Goals	1.70	1.61	1.76
Expected Goals Against	1.04	1.15	0.96

Celje Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dwlwwwlllw	1.60
Home	wwwl	2.25
Away	dlwllw	1.17

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	75%	33%
Average Goals Per Game	3.90	4.75	3.33
Scored	2.00	2.75	1.50
Conceded	1.90	2.00	1.83
BTTS	70%	75%	67%
Clean Sheets	10%	0%	17%
Failed to Score	20%	25%	17%
Expected Goals	1.46	1.77	1.26
Expected Goals Against	1.47	1.54	1.42