What is our Ajax vs Atalanta prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Ajax 2 - 2 Atalanta
Ajax vs Atalanta Preview
Ajax will be aiming to build on their emphatic Eredivisie 5-2 victory over Groningen when they take on Atalanta in the Conference League round 2. The Amsterdammers suffered a 2-1 defeat to Hajduk Split in their opener but rediscovered their attacking rhythm at the weekend, with Mokio and Brandt both scoring twice. However, injuries remain a concern, as Berghuis, Blind, Caio Henrique, Dolberg, Adingra and Edvardsen are all sidelined. Ajax have scored an impressive 2.80 goals per home game, meaning that Ajax Over 0.5 goals seems like a sure bet.
Atalanta, meanwhile, travel to Netherlands after beating Pafos 3-1 in their Conference League opener but they suffered a 3-2 defeat to Milan at the weekend. Giacomo Raspadori picked up a knock and could be replaced by Charles de Ketelaere, while Sead Kolasinac is expected to miss out with a muscle injury. The Italian side have struggled on their travels lately, conceding 1.75 goals per away game.
Both teams possess plenty of attacking quality, and Ajax's recent high-scoring matches suggest another entertaining encounter is on the cards. Therefore, Over 2.5 goals is our main betting tip, alongside Both teams to score and Ajax or Draw.
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00.
- League
- Europa Conference League
- Kick-off
- Thu 22 Oct 2026, 20:00UK time
Ajax vs Atalanta Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Ajax 2-2 Atalanta | 10/1 | |
| Double Chance: X2 | 4/5 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Draw / Draw | 6/1 | |
| Asian Handicap: Atalanta +0.5 | 33/40 | |
| European Handicap: Atalanta +1 | 5/6 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Marcos Leonardo | 13/10 | |
| First Goalscorer: Marcos Leonardo | 11/2 | |
| To be Booked: Relja Obric | 21/10 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 2/5 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/8 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 4/9 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals | 11/10 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 2/7 | |
| Ajax Clean Sheet: No | 1/4 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 6 - 8 | 7/4 | |
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View OfferAjax Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlwwddlw | 2.00 |
| Home | wlwdd | 1.60 |
| Away | wwwlw | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 5.00 | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| Scored | 3.30 | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.44 | 2.81 | 2.08 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.22 | 1.05 | 1.39 |
Atalanta Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwlllwwl | 1.60 |
| Home | dwwlww | 2.17 |
| Away | wlll | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.50 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.83 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.52 | 1.77 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.69 | 1.42 | 2.08 |
Ajax vs Atalanta Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Ajax (0%)
2 Matches
Atalanta (50%)





