AZ Alkmaar welcome Jagiellonia knowing that qualification momentum is firmly on their side. As tired legs should not prove to be a problem for AZ, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Dutch outfit eased to a 3-0 win over Drita in round five despite missing Clasie, Kasius and Meerdink, underlining their squad depth, and they should be fresh after their Eredivisie fixture was postponed at the weekend. AZ’s home numbers are strong, averaging 4.25 total goals per game, while they’ve scored 2.25 goals per home match on average.
Jagiellonia have been struggling to find their best form of late. The Poles have recorded only one win in the previous four Conference League games and could be without key striker Afimico Pululu, a potential blow given they average just 1.20 goals per game overall. Defensive fragility remains an issue too, with BTTS landing in 80% of their matches, including 86% away from home. AZ are not watertight at the back either, conceding 1.60 goals per game, which points to chances at both ends, but the hosts’ superior attacking efficiency and freshness give them a clear edge.
As both sides average high total goals, Over 2.5 goals is our main betting tip for this Conference League matchup, with additional value on Home Win and BTTS.
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 18 December 2025 at 17:45.
What is our AZ vs Jagiellonia prediction?
Our prediction for this match: AZ 2 - 1 Jagiellonia
AZ vs Jagiellonia Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
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View OfferAZ Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwdw | 1.60 |
| Home | wlwd | 1.75 |
| Away | lllww | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 4.25 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.76 | 1.93 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.36 |
Jagiellonia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllld | 1.20 |
| Home | lwl | 1.00 |
| Away | wdlld | 1.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.33 | 2.71 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.33 | 1.43 |
| BTTS | 80% | 67% | 86% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.95 | 1.95 | 1.95 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.07 | 1.41 |
AZ vs Jagiellonia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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