AZ Alkmaar return home looking to overturn a 1–0 first-leg deficit, and the hosts should be stronger with midfielder Mateo Chavez Garcia back from suspension. Therefore, our prediction leans to ward a 3-1 home win. AZ’s home numbers are impressive: they average 2.33 goals per match at home, generate 1.70 xG, and have scored in 100% of recent home outings. However, defensive lapses remain an issue, with 83% BTTS at home and only 17% clean sheets. Their overall PPG sits at 1.70, but importantly rises to 1.83 at home, making them clear favourites to respond strongly.
Noah, on the other hand, travel to Netherlands with concerns as first-team regulars Sangare and Saintini are both doubtful after knocks in the first leg. Their away form is competitive (1.25 PPG) and they concede just 0.75 goals per away match, supported by a solid 1.09 xGA. Still, the Armenians score only 1.00 goal on the road, and failing to score in 50% of their away games is a worrying trend when protecting a narrow lead.
AZ’s attacking intensity at home combined with Noah’s potential absences suggests a more one-sided second leg than the first meeting. Given AZ's strong home expected goals and Noah's absentees, Home Win is our main betting tip for this Conference League matchup, alongside AZ Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total as the Cheese Farmers' home games average 3.50 goals.
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 20:00.
What is our AZ vs Noah prediction?
Our prediction for this match: AZ 3 - 1 Noah
AZ vs Noah Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1000 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 137 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Troy Parrott @ -150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Troy Parrott @ 275 Odds
- Asian Handicap: AZ -1.5 @ -134 Odds
- European Handicap: AZ -1 @ -138 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -700 Odds
- Draw No Bet: AZ to Win @ -1200 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: AZ to Win/AZ to Win @ -138 Odds
- Clean Sheet: AZ - No @ -120 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on AZ vs Noah?
You can place your bets on AZ vs Noah at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferAZ Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldwlwdwlw | 1.70 |
| Home | wdlwdw | 1.83 |
| Away | lwwl | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.70 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.70 | 1.24 |
Noah Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlldddlwlw | 1.20 |
| Home | lldlww | 1.17 |
| Away | wddl | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 3.17 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.67 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.35 | 1.26 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 1.21 | 1.09 |
AZ vs Noah Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
AZ (0%)
1 Matches
Noah (100%)
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