What is our Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
Real Madrid
2 - 2
Atletico Madrid
Our prediction for this match: Real Madrid 2 - 2 Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Preview
Sparkles will be flying when Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid go head to head at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu in El Madrileno. As both sides struggle defensively, we predict a 2-2 draw. Los Blancos are brimming with confidence following their Champions League triumph over Man City where top scorer Kylian Mbappe made his return from injury. Mbappe is pushing for a start, while Franco Mastantuono is back from suspension. The fact that Real Madrid have been scoring 2.60 goals per home game of late definitely supports our betting angle.
Los Rojiblancos, on the other hand, are after their fifth consecutive league win, but beating Alvaro Arbeloa’s men at Bernabeu is easier said than done. As Atletico Madrid have been scoring 2.50 goals per game recently, Both Teams to Score seems like a sure bet. First-choice goalkeeper Jan Oblak remains in the recovery room, while duo Barrios – Mendoza is injured for the visitors.
As both teams have found the net in 61% of the last 56 H2H meetings, we are tempted to bet on BTTS, alongside Over 4.5 yellows cards and Over 1.5 yellow cards first half as local derbies bring extra tension to the pitch.
This Primera Division match will be played on Sunday, 22 March 2026 at 20:00.
- League
- Primera Division
- Kick-off
- Sun 22 Mar 2026, 20:00UK time
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Real Madrid 2-2 Atletico Madrid | 11/1 | |
| Double Chance: X2 | 5/6 | |
| Draw No Bet: Real Madrid | 4/9 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Draw / Draw | 11/2 | |
| Asian Handicap: Atletico Madrid +1 | 1/2 | |
| European Handicap: Real Madrid +1 | 8/11 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe | 4/5 | |
| First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe | 10/3 | |
| To be Booked: Jorge Koke | 7/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 8/15 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/6 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 8/15 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals | 11/8 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Real Madrid Clean Sheet: No | 3/10 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferReal Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlwlwwww | 2.40 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Away | wwlww | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.63 | 1.58 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.28 | 1.23 | 1.34 |
Atletico Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldwwwlwww | 2.20 |
| Home | wwwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | ldwl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.10 | 4.67 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 2.50 | 3.50 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.17 | 2.25 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.87 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.17 | 2.07 |
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Real Madrid (43%)
56 Matches
Atletico Madrid (25%)
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Past Results
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