What is our AZ vs Noah prediction?
AZ
3 - 1
Noah
Our prediction for this match: AZ 3 - 1 Noah
AZ vs Noah Preview
AZ Alkmaar return home looking to overturn a 1–0 first-leg deficit, and the hosts should be stronger with midfielder Mateo Chavez Garcia back from suspension. Therefore, our prediction leans to ward a 3-1 home win. AZ’s home numbers are impressive: they average 2.33 goals per match at home, generate 1.70 xG, and have scored in 100% of recent home outings. However, defensive lapses remain an issue, with 83% BTTS at home and only 17% clean sheets. Their overall PPG sits at 1.70, but importantly rises to 1.83 at home, making them clear favourites to respond strongly.
Noah, on the other hand, travel to Netherlands with concerns as first-team regulars Sangare and Saintini are both doubtful after knocks in the first leg. Their away form is competitive (1.25 PPG) and they concede just 0.75 goals per away match, supported by a solid 1.09 xGA. Still, the Armenians score only 1.00 goal on the road, and failing to score in 50% of their away games is a worrying trend when protecting a narrow lead.
AZ’s attacking intensity at home combined with Noah’s potential absences suggests a more one-sided second leg than the first meeting. Given AZ's strong home expected goals and Noah's absentees, Home Win is our main betting tip for this Conference League matchup, alongside AZ Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total as the Cheese Farmers' home games average 3.50 goals.
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday, 26 February 2026 at 20:00.
- Competition
- Europa Conference League
- Kick-off
- Thu 26 Feb, 20:00UK time
AZ vs Noah Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreAZ 3-1 Noah | 1000 | |
| Double Chance12 | -700 | |
| Draw No BetAZ | -1200 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeAZ / AZ | -138 | |
| Asian HandicapAZ -1.5 | -134 | |
| European HandicapAZ -1 | -138 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | 100 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -600 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | -175 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsOver 3.5 Goals | 137 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -450 | |
| Clean SheetAZ: No | -120 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerTroy Parrott | -150 | |
| First GoalscorerTroy Parrott | 275 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
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View OfferAZ Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldwlwdwlw | 1.70 |
| Home | wdlwdw | 1.83 |
| Away | lwwl | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.70 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.70 | 1.24 |
Noah Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlldddlwlw | 1.20 |
| Home | lldlww | 1.17 |
| Away | wddl | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 3.17 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.67 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.35 | 1.26 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 1.21 | 1.09 |
AZ vs Noah Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
AZ (0%)
1 Matches
Noah (100%)
AZ vs Noah Past Results
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