AZ Alkmaar host Sparta Prague in an eagerly-awaited Conference League last 16 first leg. With the Eredivisie outfit turning their their AFAS Stadion into a real fortress, we predict a 2-1 home win. AZ return key players Wouter Goes and Kees Smit from suspension, bolstering a side that has won 67% of home matches this season and averages 3.33 goals per home game. Overall, AZ score 1.60 goals per match but concede 1.30, with both teams scoring in 70% of games. Their expected goals (xG) sits at 1.46, showing solid attacking potential, particularly at home where they have yet to fail to score in their last matches.
Sparta Prague come in strong, unbeaten in four of their last five (wdwdl), scoring 2.10 goals per game and conceding just 0.80 overall. Their home dominance is notable (75% win rate) and they have kept clean sheets in 50% of matches. Away, they score 1.50 goals on average, with a sturdy defense. Midfielder Patrik Vydra is doubtful, slightly weakening their central play.
AZ Alkmaar are a real force to be reckoned with at home and with important first-team regulars returning from suspension, Home Win should be considered, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (AZ score at home in most matches; Sparta’s attack is consistent).
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 17:45.
What is our AZ vs Sparta Prague prediction?
Our prediction for this match: AZ 2 - 1 Sparta Prague
AZ vs Sparta Prague Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -118 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Troy Parrott @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Troy Parrott @ 400 Odds
- Asian Handicap: AZ 0 @ -182 Odds
- European Handicap: Tie - Sparta Prague +1 @ 850 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: AZ to Win @ -175 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: AZ to Win/AZ to Win @ 250 Odds
- Clean Sheet: AZ - No @ -275 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on AZ vs Sparta Prague?
You can place your bets on AZ vs Sparta Prague at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferAZ Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwl | 1.60 |
| Home | wdwww | 2.17 |
| Away | wlll | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.33 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.17 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.46 | 1.51 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.63 | 1.37 |
Sparta Prague Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwdl | 2.10 |
| Home | dwww | 2.50 |
| Away | wwddl | 1.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 4.00 | 2.17 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.71 | 2.09 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.07 | 0.78 | 1.26 |
AZ vs Sparta Prague Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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