The opening match of La Liga round 31 sees Real Madrid host Girona as los Blancos aim to close the gap on Barcelona at the top. As Girona have some selection worries, we predict a 3-1 home win. Real Madrid are coming off a 2-1 loss to Mallorca, with injuries sidelining key players Courtois, Mendy, and Rodrygo, while winger Franco Mastantuono is banned. Despite these setbacks, Alvaro Arbeloa's men remain strong at home, averaging 3.4 goals per game and winning 80% of their last five home fixtures.
Girona, meanwhile, are carrying minor knocks to Vanat and Blind after a 1-0 victory over Villarreal, with their away form a concern, winning just 0.6 points per away game in recent matches. Head-to-head history favors Real Madrid, who have claimed 62% of their 13 previous meetings.
Given Real Madrid's H2H edge and need for points, Home Win is our main betting tip for this La Liga matchup, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (77% of H2H matches went over this line).
This Primera Division match will be played on Friday 10 April 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Real Madrid vs Girona prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Real Madrid 3 - 1 Girona
Real Madrid vs Girona Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -134 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ -200 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe @ 240 Odds
- To be Booked: Antonio Salguero @ 130 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Real Madrid -1 @ -223 Odds
- European Handicap: Rayo Vallecano -3 @ -450 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -800 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Real Madrid to Win @ -900 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Real Madrid to Win/Real Madrid to Win @ -120 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Real Madrid - No @ -175 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Real Madrid vs Girona?
You can place your bets on Real Madrid vs Girona at the following bookmakers:
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferReal Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwlwwwwwl | 2.10 |
| Home | wlwww | 2.40 |
| Away | wlwwl | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 1.74 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.33 |
Girona Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldwdldwlw | 1.30 |
| Home | dwlww | 2.00 |
| Away | ldddl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.50 | 1.62 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.55 | 1.54 |
Real Madrid vs Girona Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Real Madrid (62%)
13 Matches
Girona (23%)
Cagliari
Atalanta
Lazio
Udinese
Espanyol
Levante
Manchester United
Brentford
PSG
Bayern Munich
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
