What is our Real Madrid vs Girona prediction?
Real Madrid
3 - 1
Girona
Our prediction for this match: Real Madrid 3 - 1 Girona
Real Madrid vs Girona Preview
The opening match of La Liga round 31 sees Real Madrid host Girona as los Blancos aim to close the gap on Barcelona at the top. As Girona have some selection worries, we predict a 3-1 home win. Real Madrid are coming off a 2-1 loss to Mallorca, with injuries sidelining key players Courtois, Mendy, and Rodrygo, while winger Franco Mastantuono is banned. Despite these setbacks, Alvaro Arbeloa's men remain strong at home, averaging 3.4 goals per game and winning 80% of their last five home fixtures.
Girona, meanwhile, are carrying minor knocks to Vanat and Blind after a 1-0 victory over Villarreal, with their away form a concern, winning just 0.6 points per away game in recent matches. Head-to-head history favors Real Madrid, who have claimed 62% of their 13 previous meetings.
Given Real Madrid's H2H edge and need for points, Home Win is our main betting tip for this La Liga matchup, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (77% of H2H matches went over this line).
This Primera Division match will be played on Friday, 10 April 2026 at 20:00.
- League
- Primera Division
- Kick-off
- Fri 10 Apr 2026, 20:00UK time
Real Madrid vs Girona Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Real Madrid 3-1 Girona | 9/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 1/8 | |
| Draw No Bet: Real Madrid | 1/9 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Real Madrid / Real Madrid | 5/6 | |
| Asian Handicap: Real Madrid -1 | 9/20 | |
| European Handicap: Rayo Vallecano -3 | 2/9 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe | 1/2 | |
| First Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe | 12/5 | |
| To be Booked: Antonio Salguero | 13/10 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 3/4 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/7 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 4/9 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals | 11/10 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 3/10 | |
| Real Madrid Clean Sheet: No | 4/7 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferReal Madrid Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwlwwwwwl | 2.10 |
| Home | wlwww | 2.40 |
| Away | wlwwl | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 1.74 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.33 |
Girona Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldwdldwlw | 1.30 |
| Home | dwlww | 2.00 |
| Away | ldddl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.50 | 1.62 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.55 | 1.54 |
Real Madrid vs Girona Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Real Madrid (62%)
13 Matches
Girona (23%)
Real Madrid vs Girona Past Results
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