Crystal Palace are in a commanding position as they welcome Shakhtar Donetsk for the Conference League semi-final second leg, holding a 3-1 advantage from the first meeting. As Shakhtar struggled defensively in the first leg, we predict a 2-1 home win. Despite injuries to Doucoure, Guessand, and Nketiah, Palace showed in the 3-1 win they have enough depth to cope. Their home defensive record is particularly impressive, conceding just 0.20 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 80% of their last five at Selhurst Park.
While overall form has been mixed (1.50 points per game), Palace’s structure at home has been reliable, even if they average just 1.00 goal scored there. Shakhtar, however, travel to London in stronger overall form (2.00 points per game) and carry a potent attacking threat, scoring 2.00 goals per game and seeing BTTS land in 70% of their matches. Notably, their away games are wide open, averaging 3.60 total goals with BTTS hitting 100%. Defender Danylo Udod should be the only absentee in the away team.
Given Palace's home advantage and gap in quality, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (high-scoring trends for both teams).
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -120 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -112 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Jean-Philippe Mateta @ 100 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Jean-Philippe Mateta @ 333 Odds
- To be Booked: Vinicius Tobias @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Crystal Palace -0.5 @ -154 Odds
- European Handicap: Shakhtar Donetsk +2 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Crystal Palace to Win @ -400 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Crystal Palace to Win/Crystal Palace to Win @ 150 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Crystal Palace - No @ -175 Odds
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View OfferCrystal Palace Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwwwldlwl | 1.50 |
| Home | ddwwd | 1.80 |
| Away | wllwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 1.20 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.36 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 0.90 | 1.42 |
Shakhtar Donetsk Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwddwwwlw | 2.00 |
| Home | lwwwl | 1.80 |
| Away | ddwww | 2.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 40% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.64 | 1.62 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.02 | 0.97 | 1.06 |
Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Crystal Palace (100%)
1 Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk (0%)
