Fiorentina carry a commanding 3–0 advantage into the return leg. As Jagiellonia failed to impress in the first leg, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Italians have 1.50 points per game overall, with a strong 60% away win rate, reflecting their capability to control games on the road. They average 2.00 goals away and concede only 1.20 per away match, while expected goals stand at 1.20, showing they create quality chances. BTTS occurs in 80% of matches, highlighting Fiorentina’s offensive consistency. Midfielder Rolando Mandragora returns from suspension, adding creativity and stability.
Jagiellonia face a tough challenge after losing the first leg. They average 1.00 PPG away, scoring just 1.00 goal per away match while conceding 1.17, and xG of 1.56 suggests limited attacking threat. All Kobayashi, Pelmard, and Vital returning from domestic bans, plus Afimico Pululu overcoming injury, slightly boost their options but are unlikely to overturn a three-goal deficit.
As Fiorentina impressed in the first leg, our prediction leans toward Home Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score (Fiorentina’s 80% BTTS and Pululu’s return may see Jagiellonia net).
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 17:45.
What is our Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Fiorentina 2 - 1 Jagiellonia
Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -143 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -500 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Moise Kean @ 105 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Moise Kean @ 375 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Fiorentina -0.5 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Fiorentina +1 @ -600 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Fiorentina to Win @ -500 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Fiorentina to Win/Fiorentina to Win @ 130 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Fiorentina - No @ -175 Odds
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