What is our Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia prediction?
Fiorentina
2 - 1
Jagiellonia
Our prediction for this match: Fiorentina 2 - 1 Jagiellonia
Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Preview
Fiorentina carry a commanding 3–0 advantage into the return leg. As Jagiellonia failed to impress in the first leg, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Italians have 1.50 points per game overall, with a strong 60% away win rate, reflecting their capability to control games on the road. They average 2.00 goals away and concede only 1.20 per away match, while expected goals stand at 1.20, showing they create quality chances. BTTS occurs in 80% of matches, highlighting Fiorentina’s offensive consistency. Midfielder Rolando Mandragora returns from suspension, adding creativity and stability.
Jagiellonia face a tough challenge after losing the first leg. They average 1.00 PPG away, scoring just 1.00 goal per away match while conceding 1.17, and xG of 1.56 suggests limited attacking threat. All Kobayashi, Pelmard, and Vital returning from domestic bans, plus Afimico Pululu overcoming injury, slightly boost their options but are unlikely to overturn a three-goal deficit.
As Fiorentina impressed in the first leg, our prediction leans toward Home Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score (Fiorentina’s 80% BTTS and Pululu’s return may see Jagiellonia net).
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday, 26 February 2026 at 17:45.
- Competition
- Europa Conference League
- Kick-off
- Thu 26 Feb, 17:45UK time
Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreFiorentina 2-1 Jagiellonia | 750 | |
| Double Chance12 | -550 | |
| Draw No BetFiorentina | -500 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeFiorentina / Fiorentina | 130 | |
| Asian HandicapFiorentina -0.5 | -191 | |
| European HandicapFiorentina +1 | -600 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | -125 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -500 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | -143 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -225 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -600 | |
| Clean SheetFiorentina: No | -175 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerMoise Kean | 105 | |
| First GoalscorerMoise Kean | 375 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
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