Rayo Vallecano aim to recover from the La Liga loss to Espanyol, but with Jagiellonia being tough to beat at home, our prediction firmly points toward a 1-1 draw. The hosts have a full squad available, which gives them stability and continuity—an important factor given their mixed recent form. Despite inconsistent results (WWDLL), Jagiellonia’s underlying numbers at home remain positive, particularly their 2.44 xG and 50% clean-sheet rate, suggesting they create enough chances to trouble most opponents. Defensively, they concede far fewer goals at home than away, and their ability to control expected goals against (1.11 xGA) could play a key role here.
Los Vallecanos, meanwhile, travel to Poland without several important players—Alemao, Mendez, Mumin and Trejo are all sidelined—yet key man Isi Palazon is fit and should carry much of the creative burden. The Spanish club have been solid overall (DLDWL) but far less convincing on the road, where they both score and concede more frequently. Their away xG of 1.75 shows they can create chances, although defensive vulnerabilities remain.
With both sides producing high average goal totals, this matchup has the potential to be far more open than their league styles usually suggest. Therefore, BTTS is our main betting pick for this clash, alongisde Half-Time Draw and Under 3.5 goals.
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 11 December 2025 at 17:45.
What is our Jagiellonia vs Rayo Vallecano prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Jagiellonia 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Jagiellonia vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Alexandre Alemao @ 137 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Jagiellonia vs Rayo Vallecano?
You can place your bets on Jagiellonia vs Rayo Vallecano at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferJagiellonia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdll | 1.20 |
| Home | lw | 1.50 |
| Away | dwdll | 1.13 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.00 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 80% | 50% | 88% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 50% | 13% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 13% |
| Expected Goals | 1.80 | 2.44 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.11 | 1.47 |
Rayo Vallecano Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldwl | 1.50 |
| Home | wwdd | 2.00 |
| Away | ldlwl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.84 | 1.98 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.36 | 1.32 |
Jagiellonia vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
Crystal Palace
Fulham
Liverpool
Leeds United
Brentford
Tottenham
Sunderland
Man City
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Burnley
