Lech Poznan and Shakhtar Donetsk go head to head in the first leg of this Europa League last 16. Given Shakhtar's splendid form, we predict a 1-0 away win. Lech are boosted by the return of Milic, Kozubal, and striker Ishak to the starting XI. The hosts have been strong at home this season, winning 60% of matches, scoring 1.80 goals per home game, and averaging 3.20 goals per match in front of their fans. Their expected goals (xG) of 2.17 at home reflects a potent attack, although they concede 1.40 on average, leaving them vulnerable to counter-attacks.
Shakhtar, meanwhile, are in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five, winning 80% of away matches. The Miners boast a formidable defense, conceding only 0.20 goals per away game and keeping clean sheets in 80% of matches. Offensively, they score 2.20 goals per match, with an xG of 1.97, making them dangerous even on the road. No fresh injury concerns give them continuity in attack and midfield.
Given Shakhtar's fine away form and defensive solidity, our prediction leans toward Away Win, with additional value on Under 2.5 goals and Shakhtar Donetsk to Win to Nil.
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 17:45.
What is our Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Lech Poznan 0 - 1 Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-1 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -106 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Mikael Ishak @ 137 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Mikael Ishak @ 450 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Shakhtar Donetsk +0.5 @ -211 Odds
- European Handicap: Shakhtar Donetsk +1 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -200 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Shakhtar Donetsk to Win @ -120 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Shakhtar Donetsk to Win/Shakhtar Donetsk to Win @ 333 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Shakhtar Donetsk - Yes @ 250 Odds
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View OfferLech Poznan Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwll | 1.80 |
| Home | lwwwl | 1.80 |
| Away | lwwwl | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 2.09 | 2.17 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 1.37 | 1.12 |
Shakhtar Donetsk Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwww | 2.40 |
| Home | dwdww | 2.20 |
| Away | wwdww | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| BTTS | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 2.06 | 2.16 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.63 | 0.69 | 0.57 |
Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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