Levadia will look to finish the job in style when they welcome Caernarfon to A. Le Coq Arena for the second leg of their Conference League first qualifying round tie. As David faces Goliath in Estonia, our prediction firmly points toward a 3-1 home win. The Estonian champions produced a dominant display in the first meeting, cruising to a 5-0 victory to all but secure a place in the next round. With qualification virtually guaranteed, rotation is expected, as Kaua Davi, Otoo, and Wendell are all pushing for places in the starting XI. Levadia have been in outstanding form lately, winning eight of their last ten matches in all competitions while averaging 2.80 goals per game. They have also scored in every one of those ten outings, underlining their attacking consistency.
Caernarfon, on the other hand, face a near-impossible task after being outplayed in the first leg. To make matters worse, defender Ben Nash is suspended following his red card, forcing the Welsh side into at least one defensive change. There are no fresh injury concerns for the visitors, but overturning a five-goal deficit looks unrealistic. While Caernarfon have won five of their last ten matches, they have conceded an average of 1.80 goals per game during that spell and are likely to struggle against another confident Levadia performance.
Levadia are in excellent form and possess far greater quality. Therefore, punters from all around the globe can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside Levadia Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (Levadia have averaged 3.60 total goals per game across their last ten matches).
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Levadia vs Caernarforn prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Levadia 3 - 1 Caernarforn
Levadia vs Caernarforn Betting Tips
- European Handicap: Caernarfon +3 @ -175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
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View OfferLevadia Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwwwdlww | 2.50 |
| Home | wdl | 1.33 |
| Away | wwwwwww | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 33% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.80 | 1.67 | 3.29 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.71 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 71% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 2.31 | 2.42 | 2.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.12 | 1.29 | 1.04 |
Caernarforn Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwlllwwwl | 1.50 |
| Home | wllwwl | 1.50 |
| Away | lwlw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.83 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 2.17 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 40% | 17% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.49 | 1.31 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.66 | 1.67 | 1.64 |
Levadia vs Caernarforn Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Levadia (100%)
1 Matches
Caernarforn (0%)
