Paide and Hegelmann go head to head in the second leg of their UEFA Conference League first qualifying round tie after a hard-fought 1-1 draw in Lithuania. Despite managing only three goal attempts in the first meeting, Paide controlled possession with 61% of the ball and will feel they can produce a much better attacking display on home soil. Head coach Ivan Stojković has several selection dilemmas, with Henri Anier, Nigula, and Luts all pushing for places in the starting XI. While Paide have won only three of their last ten matches overall, they tend to be more dangerous at home, averaging 1.4 goals per game and 3.4 total goals per match in their last five home outings.
Hegelmann, meanwhile, kept themselves alive thanks to a penalty equaliser in the first leg and travel to Estonia without any fresh injury concerns. However, the Lithuanian outfit have struggled for consistency in recent weeks, winning just one of their last ten matches while failing to keep a single clean sheet during that spell. Their defensive vulnerability is highlighted by the fact that both teams have scored in 80% of their last ten games.
Home advantage and an improved attacking display should help the Estonian side edge a closely contested tie. Therefore, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, with additional value on Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals (BTTS has landed in 80% of both teams' last ten matches, and the first leg also saw both sides find the net).
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 17:00.
What is our Paide vs Hegelmann prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Paide 2 - 1 Hegelmann
Paide vs Hegelmann Betting Tips
- European Handicap: FC Hegelmann +2 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
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View OfferPaide Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllddwwdwd | 1.30 |
| Home | lldww | 1.40 |
| Away | ldwdd | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.52 | 1.43 | 1.60 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.56 | 1.47 | 1.65 |
Hegelmann Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddlwlddldd | 0.90 |
| Home | ddddd | 1.00 |
| Away | lwlld | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.16 | 1.28 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.23 | 1.63 |
Paide vs Hegelmann Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Paide (0%)
1 Matches
Hegelmann (0%)
Paide vs Hegelmann Past Results
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