Rayo Vallecano enter the second leg with a comfortable 3-1 advantage and no fresh injury concerns. As Rayo are a real for at Vallecas, we predict a 2-1 home win. Rayo's recent form (ddwdw) shows stability, and at home they have been strong, winning 50% of their recent matches and averaging 2.00 goals scored at home. Defensively, they allow just 1.00 goal per home match and keep clean sheets in half of their home games. Their xG at home (1.68) also suggests they create enough quality chances to control matches.
Samsunspor, meanwhile, travel with a mixed run of form (dwllw) and must chase goals after losing the first leg. Midfielder Olivier Ntcham is likely out, which weakens their buildup and transition play. Although their win rate (40%) is respectable both home and away, they concede 1.20–1.40 goals consistently, which is a concern when facing a side that already punished them in the first match.
Given their better form, home advantage, and a two-goal lead, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Rayo Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (first leg was open, and Samsun will have to push forward).
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Rayo Vallecano 2 - 1 Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexandre Alemao @ 137 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alexandre Alemao @ 400 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Rayo Vallecano -0.5 @ -174 Odds
- European Handicap: Samsunspor +2 @ -225 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Rayo Vallecano to Win @ -500 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Rayo Vallecano to Win/Rayo Vallecano to Win @ 150 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Rayo Vallecano - No @ -125 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor?
You can place your bets on Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferRayo Vallecano Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llllwddwdw | 1.20 |
| Home | lwdw | 1.75 |
| Away | lllddw | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.68 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 1.17 | 1.49 |
Samsunspor Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwdwdwllw | 1.40 |
| Home | lwdlw | 1.40 |
| Away | lwdwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.51 | 1.53 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.11 | 1.04 | 1.19 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Rayo Vallecano (100%)
1 Matches
Samsunspor (0%)
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