What is our Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor prediction?
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Samsunspor
Our prediction for this match: Rayo Vallecano 2 - 1 Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Preview
Rayo Vallecano enter the second leg with a comfortable 3-1 advantage and no fresh injury concerns. As Rayo are a real for at Vallecas, we predict a 2-1 home win. Rayo's recent form (ddwdw) shows stability, and at home they have been strong, winning 50% of their recent matches and averaging 2.00 goals scored at home. Defensively, they allow just 1.00 goal per home match and keep clean sheets in half of their home games. Their xG at home (1.68) also suggests they create enough quality chances to control matches.
Samsunspor, meanwhile, travel with a mixed run of form (dwllw) and must chase goals after losing the first leg. Midfielder Olivier Ntcham is likely out, which weakens their buildup and transition play. Although their win rate (40%) is respectable both home and away, they concede 1.20–1.40 goals consistently, which is a concern when facing a side that already punished them in the first match.
Given their better form, home advantage, and a two-goal lead, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Rayo Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals (first leg was open, and Samsun will have to push forward).
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday, 19 March 2026 at 20:00.
- Competition
- Europa Conference League
- Kick-off
- Thu 19 Mar, 20:00UK time
Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreRayo Vallecano 2-1 Samsunspor | 750 | |
| Double Chance12 | -350 | |
| Draw No BetRayo Vallecano | -500 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeRayo Vallecano / Rayo Vallecano | 150 | |
| Asian HandicapRayo Vallecano -0.5 | -174 | |
| European HandicapSamsunspor +2 | -225 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | 110 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -300 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | 110 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -400 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -1200 | |
| Clean SheetRayo Vallecano: No | -125 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerAlexandre Alemao | 137 | |
| First GoalscorerAlexandre Alemao | 400 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
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View OfferRayo Vallecano Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llllwddwdw | 1.20 |
| Home | lwdw | 1.75 |
| Away | lllddw | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.68 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 1.17 | 1.49 |
Samsunspor Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwdwdwllw | 1.40 |
| Home | lwdlw | 1.40 |
| Away | lwdwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.51 | 1.53 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.11 | 1.04 | 1.19 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Rayo Vallecano (100%)
1 Matches
Samsunspor (0%)
Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Past Results
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