As both Samsunspor and AEK Athens are likely to adopt a cautious approach, we predict a 1-1 draw in this highly-anticipated Europa League showdown. Samsunspor enter this clash with several defensive concerns, as Satka, Çetin, and Sousa are all sidelined. That leaves the hosts short at the back—an issue made more visible by their tendency to concede early and rely on their strong home form to recover. Their numbers at home are solid (2.20 PPG, five-game unbeaten run), and they score consistently, having failed to net 0 times this season in front of their fans. However, their BTTS rate at home sits at just 40%, largely because they often control midfield but struggle when pressed aggressively.
The Yellow-Blacks look like the more complete and reliable outfit here. They travel without Zini and Pierrot, but these absences are manageable, as the visiting squad is deep enough to maintain structure and attacking balance. AEK come into the game on a five-match winning streak, showing discipline, compact defending, and strong underlying numbers—1.97 xG for, 0.84 xGA overall. Their away clean-sheet percentage (60%) highlights their tactical maturity, while their ability to control matches without needing high possession fits well against a Samsunspor side that prefers a more open rhythm.
With AEK’s form, defensive solidity, and far higher experience level in continental-type matchups, the visitors should have the edge. Therefore, AEK or Draw is our main betting pick, with additional value on Under 2.5 goals. Given the rivalry between Turkish and Greek clubs, Over 3.5 yellow cards betting tip seems like a sure bet.
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 11 December 2025 at 17:45.
What is our Samsunspor vs AEK Athens prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Samsunspor 1 - 1 AEK Athens
Samsunspor vs AEK Athens Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Deniz Seker @ 162 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferSamsunspor Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdddl | 1.90 |
| Home | wdwwd | 2.20 |
| Away | wwddl | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 70% | 40% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.61 | 1.69 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.14 | 0.68 | 1.61 |
AEK Athens Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwww | 2.50 |
| Home | wdwww | 2.60 |
| Away | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.97 | 2.49 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.84 | 0.64 | 1.05 |
Samsunspor vs AEK Athens Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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