Samsunspor and Rayo Vallecano square off against each other in the Conference League last 16, first leg, with both sides missing some players. Anyhow, we predict a 1-0 home win as Rayo are not regarded as good travellers. The hosts will be without Al Assoumou, Cetin, and Sousa due to injuries, but remain solid at home, averaging 1.97 expected goals and 2.25 goals per game. Samsun have kept clean sheets in 75% of their home matches, conceding just 0.75 goals per game, highlighting a compact defensive setup. Despite scoring inconsistently at times, their overall form shows resilience, with 3 wins in their last 5 games.
Rayo Vallecano travel to Turkey missing midfielder Pathe Ciss, while no players are suspended. Their away form is weaker, having failed to win any of their last 5 away matches, scoring only 0.6 goals per game. Los Vallecanos average 1.20 xG on the road but remain prone defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per away match. Rayo’s BTTS rate is 60%, indicating they are likely to concede even against mid-tier sides.
Considering Samsun's fine home form and defensive solidity, punters worldwide can find value in betting on Home Win. Additionally, Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals markets seem tempting as both teams look solid at the back.
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 17:45.
What is our Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Samsunspor 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0 @ 850 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -118 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 240 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Alexandre Alemao @ 162 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Alexandre Alemao @ 500 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Samsunspor +0.5 @ -143 Odds
- European Handicap: Samsunspor +1 @ -143 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -143 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Samsunspor to Win @ 125 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Samsunspor to Win/Samsunspor to Win @ 450 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Samsunspor - Yes @ 275 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano?
You can place your bets on Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferSamsunspor Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwdwl | 1.70 |
| Home | wlwd | 1.75 |
| Away | lwdwl | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.25 | 2.17 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.62 | 1.97 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.04 | 0.86 | 1.16 |
Rayo Vallecano Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddwd | 1.20 |
| Home | wlwdw | 2.00 |
| Away | llldd | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.64 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.13 | 1.52 |
Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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