What is our Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano prediction?
Samsunspor
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
Our prediction for this match: Samsunspor 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Preview
Samsunspor and Rayo Vallecano square off against each other in the Conference League last 16, first leg, with both sides missing some players. Anyhow, we predict a 1-0 home win as Rayo are not regarded as good travellers. The hosts will be without Al Assoumou, Cetin, and Sousa due to injuries, but remain solid at home, averaging 1.97 expected goals and 2.25 goals per game. Samsun have kept clean sheets in 75% of their home matches, conceding just 0.75 goals per game, highlighting a compact defensive setup. Despite scoring inconsistently at times, their overall form shows resilience, with 3 wins in their last 5 games.
Rayo Vallecano travel to Turkey missing midfielder Pathe Ciss, while no players are suspended. Their away form is weaker, having failed to win any of their last 5 away matches, scoring only 0.6 goals per game. Los Vallecanos average 1.20 xG on the road but remain prone defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per away match. Rayo’s BTTS rate is 60%, indicating they are likely to concede even against mid-tier sides.
Considering Samsun's fine home form and defensive solidity, punters worldwide can find value in betting on Home Win. Additionally, Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals markets seem tempting as both teams look solid at the back.
This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday, 12 March 2026 at 17:45.
- Competition
- Europa Conference League
- Kick-off
- Thu 12 Mar, 17:45UK time
Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreSamsunspor 1-0 Rayo Vallecano | 750 | |
| Double Chance1X | -150 | |
| Draw No BetSamsunspor | 162 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeSamsunspor / Samsunspor | 500 | |
| Asian HandicapSamsunspor +0.5 | -143 | |
| European HandicapRayo Vallecano +3 | -200 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreNo | -150 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsUnder 1.5 Goals | 162 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals | -188 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -550 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -2000 | |
| Clean SheetSamsunspor: Yes | 240 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerAlexandre Alemao | 187 | |
| First GoalscorerAlexandre Alemao | 500 | |
| Total Corners9 - 11 | 162 |
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferSamsunspor Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllwdwdwl | 1.70 |
| Home | wlwd | 1.75 |
| Away | wlwdwl | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.25 | 2.17 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.62 | 1.97 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.04 | 0.86 | 1.16 |
Rayo Vallecano Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllllwddwd | 1.20 |
| Home | wlwdw | 2.00 |
| Away | llldd | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.64 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.13 | 1.52 |
Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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