Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan Prediction & Betting Tips | 19/03/2026

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan Prediction and Betting Tips | 19 March 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

16 March 2026 • 15:07 UTC • 1 min read

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan Prediction and Betting Tips 19 March 2026

Shakhtar Donetsk enter the return leg with a commanding 3–1 advantage and no fresh injury concerns. As Lech Poznan struggled defensively in the first leg, we predict a 3-1 home win. Shakhtar's form has been outstanding, winning their last five matches and keeping clean sheets in 80% of games. At home the Miners remain extremely difficult to break down, conceding just 0.33 goals per match with an xGA of 0.69. Shakhtar also produce a strong 1.97 xG at home, suggesting the first-leg scoreline was no accident.

Lech Poznan, meanwhile, travel without Douglas and Murawski. Although their overall form looks solid with a 70% win rate and an impressive away points-per-game figure of 2.40, they now face a much sterner test. Their away xG (1.85) shows they can create chances, but conceding 1.42 per match on the road in Europe is a concern.

Given the gap in quality between the two teams, Home Win should be considered, alongside Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score as Lech Poznan need to go all guns blazing at Shakhtar Donetsk.

This Europa Conference League match will be played on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 20:00.

What is our Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Shakhtar Donetsk 3 - 1 Lech Poznan

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan Betting Tips

Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1600 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -163 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 175 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -134 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Mikael Ishak @ 150 Odds
First Goalscorer: Mikael Ishak @ 500 Odds
Asian Handicap: Shakhtar Donetsk 0 @ -174 Odds
European Handicap: Shakhtar Donetsk +1 @ -275 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
Double Chance: 1X @ -275 Odds
Draw No Bet: Shakhtar Donetsk to Win @ -175 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: Shakhtar Donetsk to Win/Shakhtar Donetsk to Win @ 240 Odds
Clean Sheet: Shakhtar Donetsk - No @ -300 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan?

You can place your bets on Shakhtar Donetsk vs Lech Poznan at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Shakhtar Donetsk Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	ddwwdwwwww	2.40
Home	dwdwww	2.33
Away	dwww	2.50

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	67%	75%
Average Goals Per Game	2.10	2.33	1.75
Scored	1.80	2.00	1.50
Conceded	0.30	0.33	0.25
BTTS	20%	17%	25%
Clean Sheets	80%	83%	75%
Failed to Score	20%	17%	25%
Expected Goals	1.93	1.97	1.87
Expected Goals Against	0.67	0.69	0.66

Lech Poznan Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwwwwwlllw	2.10
Home	wwwll	1.80
Away	wwwlw	2.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	60%	80%
Average Goals Per Game	2.60	3.20	2.00
Scored	1.60	1.80	1.40
Conceded	1.00	1.40	0.60
BTTS	40%	40%	40%
Clean Sheets	50%	40%	60%
Failed to Score	10%	20%	0%
Expected Goals	1.85	1.85	1.85
Expected Goals Against	1.25	1.42	1.09