Crvena zvezda enter the final league-phase round with a realistic chance of sneaking into the top eight, sitting one point above Celta Vigo and backed by excellent home numbers. As Dejan Stankovic's men are brimming with confidence following a 1-0 win over Malmo, we predict a 1-0 home win. Fit-again midfielder Mirko Ivanović should strengthen the hosts’ control in midfield, and their defensive stability remains their biggest weapon. The Red and Whites have won 75% of their home games, conceding just 0.25 goals per match, while keeping a clean sheet in 75% of those outings. Their expected metrics also support their strong performances, with 1.97 xG and only 1.09 xGA at home.
Celta Vigo also remain in the top-eight conversation, but suspensions to Swedberg and Sotelo reduce their attacking options. Their recent form is strong with four wins from the last five, and they average 2.20 goals per away game, though their defence allows 1.00 on the road. Interestingly, their expected goals numbers (1.35) are lower than their actual scoring output, hinting at slight overperformance.
With both teams chasing the same objective, a tactical but intense battle is expected, especially given Zvezda’s defensive consistency. As Zvezda concede extremely rarely at home, Under 2.5 goals is our main betting pick, alongside Home Win and Zvezda to Score First.
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 29 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Crvena Zvezda vs Celta Vigo prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Crvena Zvezda 1 - 0 Celta Vigo
Crvena Zvezda vs Celta Vigo Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Marko Arnautovic @ 137 Odds
- To be booked: Nikola Stankovic @ 160 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Crvena Zvezda 0 @ -149 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferCrvena Zvezda Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwdww | 2.20 |
| Home | wwlw | 2.25 |
| Away | lwwdw | 2.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.67 |
| BTTS | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 2.09 | 1.97 | 2.16 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.90 | 1.09 | 0.78 |
Celta Vigo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwl | 2.00 |
| Home | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Away | wddwl | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.15 | 0.95 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.61 | 1.75 | 1.47 |
Crvena Zvezda vs Celta Vigo Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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