Genk face Freiburg in the Europa League last 16 first leg, with both sides looking to gain an early advantage. With Freiburg having ups and downs on the travels, we predict a 2-1 home win. Genk return a full-strength squad after midfielder Bryan Heynen’s domestic ban ended. The Belgian side are in strong form, winning three of their last five matches (wldwl) and averaging 3.40 goals per game, scoring 2.00 on average while conceding 1.40. At home, Genk are particularly dangerous, netting 3.17 goals per match and keeping clean sheets in 33% of games. Their attack is expected to be clinical, with a home xG of 2.15.
Freiburg are, on the other hand, are more inconsistent, especially on the road where they have struggled, winning none of their last five away matches (lldll) and averaging only 0.20 goals per away game. The Germans are impressive at home with an 80% win rate and 2.80 goals per game, but they will need to improve defensively to contain Genk. Both Johan Manzambi and Jan-Niklas Beste return from suspension, providing an attacking boost.
Considering Genk's fine home form and attacking potential, Home Win should be considered, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (Genk’s 3.17 home goals per match and Freiburg’s 2.30 overall goals suggest a high-scoring affair).
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Genk vs Freiburg prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Genk 2 - 1 Freiburg
Genk vs Freiburg Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Lucas Holer @ 210 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Lucas Holer @ 600 Odds
- To be Booked: Yaimar Medina @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Genk 0 @ -122 Odds
- European Handicap: Genk +1 @ -250 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -250 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Genk to Win @ -125 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Genk to Win/Genk to Win @ 300 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Genk - No @ -275 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Genk vs Freiburg?
You can place your bets on Genk vs Freiburg at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferGenk Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwwwwldwl | 2.00 |
| Home | dwwldw | 1.83 |
| Away | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.17 | 3.75 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 1.83 | 2.25 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.78 | 2.15 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.31 | 1.63 |
Freiburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwllwdlwld | 1.40 |
| Home | wwwwd | 2.60 |
| Away | lldll | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 0% | 80% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.67 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.61 | 1.45 | 1.77 |
Genk vs Freiburg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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