Genk are eager to secure a top-eight finish and with Malmo failing to book their spot in the playoffs, our prediction points toward a 3-1 home win. The hosts this clash with encouraging underlying numbers, especially at home where they average 2.13 expected goals and see 100% BTTS in recent outings. Their only absentee is forward Noah Adedeji-Sternberg, meaning Wouter Vrancken retains most of his attacking structure. Genk’s home matches have produced 3.8 goals per game, and despite winning just 20% of their fixtures overall, they consistently create chances, scoring 1.6 goals per home match.
Malmo, on the other hand, are weakened by the suspension of key defender Busanello and with poor form behind them, losing four of their last five. Defensive issues are evident: they concede 2.2 goals per away game and allow 1.90 xGA on the road. While they also have a modest 20% win rate, their attack performs slightly better away from home, averaging 1.0 goal per match, but they struggle to keep clean sheets (just 20% away).
As Genk are a real force to be reckoned with at home and Malmo weakened defensively, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Genk to Score First and Over 2.5 goals.
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 29 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Genk vs Malmo prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Genk 3 - 1 Malmo
Genk vs Malmo Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Daan Heymans @ -111 Odds
- To be booked: Otto Rosengren @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Genk -1.5 @ -134 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferGenk Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllwd | 0.90 |
| Home | wldld | 1.00 |
| Away | lldlw | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 70% | 100% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.76 | 2.13 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.31 | 1.76 |
Malmo Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlll | 0.80 |
| Home | dllwl | 0.80 |
| Away | lwdll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.10 | 1.09 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.70 | 1.50 | 1.90 |
Genk vs Malmo Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Genk (50%)
2 Matches
Malmo (0%)
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