Lille vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips | 12/03/2026

Lille vs Aston Villa Prediction and Betting Tips | 12 March 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

9 March 2026 • 10:09 UTC • 1 min read

Lille vs Aston Villa Prediction and Betting Tips 12 March 2026

Lille and Aston Villa lock horns at Stade Pierre-Mauroy in what promises to be one of the most exciting games of Thursday’s program. With Lille showing signs of improvement of late, we predict that they will hold Aston Villa to a 1-1 draw in the first leg. Les Dogues are undefeated in the previous four games in all competitions, but their attacking firepower remains a big concern. As Lille have been scoring only 0.83 goals per home game of late, we are unlikely to see a high-scoring contest in the first leg. The likes of Igamane, Caillard, Toure, and Sahraoui are expected to miss out with injuries for the home team.

The Villans, on the other hand, aim to recover from a heavy 4-1 Premier League loss to Chelsea, but they will have to do it without injured right-back Matty Cash. The fact that Aston Villa have been scoring only 1.00 goals per game on the road supports our betting angle. Key midfielder John McGinn faces race against the clock to be fit for Thursday’s showdown.

Lille are tough to beat at home and with Aston Villa expected to adopt a cautious approach in the first leg, Under 2.5 goals bet should be considered. Additionally, Half-Time Draw and Draw markets seem appealing.

This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 17:45.

What is our Lille vs Aston Villa prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Lille 1 - 1 Aston Villa

Lille vs Aston Villa Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Ollie Watkins @ 175 Odds
First Goalscorer: Ollie Watkins @ 500 Odds
To be Booked: Douglas Luiz @ 160 Odds
Asian Handicap: Lille +0.5 @ -160 Odds
European Handicap: Aston Villa +2 @ -250 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
Double Chance: 1X @ -163 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 375 Odds
Clean Sheet: Aston Villa - No @ -225 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Lille vs Aston Villa?

You can place your bets on Lille vs Aston Villa at the following bookmakers:

18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Lille Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lwlddlwwwd	1.50
Home	lwdlwd	1.33
Away	ldww	1.75

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	33%	50%
Average Goals Per Game	1.60	2.00	1.00
Scored	0.80	0.83	0.75
Conceded	0.80	1.17	0.25
BTTS	30%	50%	0%
Clean Sheets	50%	33%	75%
Failed to Score	30%	17%	50%
Expected Goals	1.60	1.55	1.68
Expected Goals Against	0.95	0.96	0.93

Aston Villa Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wwwldwldll	1.40
Home	wlwldl	1.17
Away	wwdl	1.75

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	33%	50%
Average Goals Per Game	2.50	3.00	1.75
Scored	1.10	1.17	1.00
Conceded	1.40	1.83	0.75
BTTS	50%	67%	25%
Clean Sheets	30%	17%	50%
Failed to Score	20%	17%	25%
Expected Goals	1.63	1.74	1.46
Expected Goals Against	1.50	1.39	1.67