Europa League Predictions

Freiburg

Freiburg

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

8 September 2022

20:00

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Qarabag

Qarabag

Freiburg will try to make a flying start to their Europa League campaign when they welcome Qarabag to their Europa-Park Stadion on Thursday. Freiburg proved their worth in a come-from-behind 3-2 win over Bayer Leverkusen, meaning that they are brimming with confidence ahead of the visit of Qarabag. Roland Sallai limped off with injury in the BayArena triumph, while all Ezekw... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 September 2022 at 20:00

Ferencvaros

Ferencvaros

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

8 September 2022

20:00

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Trabzonsport

Trabzonsport

Ulker Stadyumu in Istanbul will host Thursday’s Europa League game between Fenerbahce and Dynamo Kiev. The Turkish outfit faced no difficulties in the EL playoffs, with the team beating Austria Vienna 6-1 on aggregate, and they are now on a quest to get their revenge on Dynamo Kiev for the heart-breaking Champions League defeat. A man to watch in the home team will be summ... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 September 2022 at 20:00

Crvena Zvezda

Crvena Zvezda

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

8 September 2022

20:00

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Monaco

Monaco

Stadion Rajko Mitic will be packed when Crvena zvezda and Monaco go head to head in the Europa League group stages round 1. The Serbian champions suffered a dip in form in the national championship, with the teams sharing the spoils with both Partizan and TSC, and, no doubt, new boss Milos Milojevic is under big pressure ahead of Thursday’s clash. Experienced midfielder Gu... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 September 2022 at 20:00

Zurich

Zurich

Prediction:
0-3

Match Time & Date:

8 September 2022

17:45

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Arsenal

Arsenal

Arsenal will look to kick off the new Europa League campaign in great manner when they face Zurich on a neutral location (Kybunpark). The Gunners made a flying start to the new Premier League season, but they failed to impress in a 3-1 loss to Manchester United at the weekend. Mikel Arteta’s men aim to return to winning ways as soon as possible, but they will have to prove... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 September 2022 at 17:45

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

8 September 2022

17:45

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St Gilloise

St Gilloise

Union Berlin play host to Royale Union SG at their Stadion An der Alten Forsterei in the opening match of their Europa League campaign. Following back-to-back wins over Leipzig and Schalke, the capital club did well to hold star-studded Bayern Munich to a 1-1 draw in their last league match. Union Berlin are a real force to be reckoned with at home, and it is no wonder the b... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 September 2022 at 17:45

PSV

PSV

Prediction:
3-1

Match Time & Date:

8 September 2022

17:45

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Bodo Glimt

Bodo Glimt

PSV and Bodo take on each other at Philips Stadion in what is expected to be one of the most entertaining games of Thursday’s program. Following thrilling back-to-back wins over Volendam and Excelsior, PSV suffered a 2-1 loss to Twente in their last league match, but the bookies still see them as favourites to beat Bodo in Eindhoven. Luuk de Jong faces race against clock t... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 September 2022 at 17:45

Malmo

Malmo

Prediction:
0-1

Match Time & Date:

8 September 2022

17:45

VIEW PREDICTION

Braga

Braga

Malmo and Braga take on each other at Eleda Stadion in what is expected to be an exciting Europa League game. The Swedish champions failed to impress in the Champions League qualifiers, but thanks to a win over Sivasspor they made it to the EL group stages. Malmo, though, collected only one point in total from the last three league fixtures, and, as a result, they have slim ... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 September 2022 at 17:45

Ludogorets

Ludogorets

Prediction:
1-2

Match Time & Date:

8 September 2022

17:45

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AS Roma

AS Roma

Roma will be aiming to bounce back from a heavy 4-0 loss to Udinese when they face Ludogorets at Huvepharma Arena in their Europa League opener. The Giallorossi experienced all sorts of problems at the back at the weekend which is pretty rare when it comes to Jose Mourinho’s teams, but the Romans are surely capable of beating Ludogorets in Razgrad. Summer signing Andrea Be... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 September 2022 at 17:45

HJK

HJK

Prediction:
0-2

Match Time & Date:

8 September 2022

17:45

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Betis

Betis

Helsinki and Real Betis square off against each other at Bolt Arena in what will be their first meeting in the Europa League. HJK are on a quest to defend their Veikkausliiga title, but they have big ambitions for the 2022/2023 Europa League campaign as well. A man to keep an eye on in the home team will be Serbia international Bojan Radulovic, who has netted seven goals in ... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 September 2022 at 17:45

Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce

Prediction:
2-1

Match Time & Date:

8 September 2022

17:45

VIEW PREDICTION

Dynamo Kyiv

Dynamo Kyiv

Ulker Stadyumu in Istanbul will host Thursday’s Europa League game between Fenerbahce and Dynamo Kiev. The Turkish outfit faced no difficulties in the EL playoffs, with the team beating Austria Vienna 6-1 on aggregate, and they are now on a quest to get their revenge on Dynamo Kiev for the heart-breaking Champions League defeat. A man to watch in the home team will be summ... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 September 2022 at 17:45

AEK Larnaca

AEK Larnaca

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

8 September 2022

17:45

VIEW PREDICTION

Rennes

Rennes

AEK Larnaca take on Rennes at their AEK Arena in the Europa League group stages round 1. The Cypriotes were impressive in the qualifiers, with the team eliminating the likes of Partizan and Dnipro in the process, but they head into Thursday’s clash following a 3-2 loss to Omonia. Anyhow, you should bear in mind that AEK Larnaca are tough to beat at home. Rafa Lopes, who fo... Read More...

This match will be played on 8 September 2022 at 17:45

Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock Rovers

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

25 August 2022

20:00

VIEW PREDICTION

Ferencvaros

Ferencvaros

Shamrock Rovers will look to make a miracle in the tie with Ferencvaros when the two teams face each other at Tallaght Stadium on Thursday evening. Shamrock aim to overcome a four-goal deficit, but the bookies see them as underdogs in the return leg as well. Rory Gaffney, who impressed in a 3-0 win over Dundalk at the weekend, will be the man to watch in the home team.

... Read More...

This match will be played on 25 August 2022 at 20:00

Olympiacos

Olympiacos

Prediction:
2-0

Match Time & Date:

25 August 2022

20:00

VIEW PREDICTION

Apollon

Apollon

Olympiakos play host to Apollon at their Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium in the Europa League playoffs, first leg. The two teams played out a 1-1 draw in the first leg, but Olympiakos are seen as favourites to win Thursday’s clash. The Thrylos kicked off the new Greek Super League campaign in style, with the team beating Giannina 2-0 at home, and they must be high on spirits ... Read More...

This match will be played on 25 August 2022 at 20:00

Hearts

Hearts

Prediction:
1-1

Match Time & Date:

25 August 2022

20:00

VIEW PREDICTION

Zurich

Zurich

Tynecastle Park will host Thursday’s Europa League qualifier between Hearts and Zurich. The Scots aim to overcome a one-goal deficit in front of home fans, and we are positive that they will fight tooth and nail against Zurich. DR Congo international Beni Baningime has been struggling with injury of late, but he should be the only absentee in the home team. Franco Coda’s... Read More...

This match will be played on 25 August 2022 at 20:00

Sivasspor

Sivasspor

Prediction:
2-2

Match Time & Date:

25 August 2022

18:00

VIEW PREDICTION

Malmo

Malmo

Sivasspor and Malmo go head to head at Yeni 4 Eylul Stadyumu in what is expected to be a close Europa League game. Sivasspor need a big win in the second leg, and they are likely to go all guns blazing at the Swedish champions. Both Arslan and Camara are out of contention with injuries, while there are no suspended players in the home team.

Malmo, on the other hand, ... Read More...

This match will be played on 25 August 2022 at 18:00

Sheriff Tiraspol

Sheriff Tiraspol

Prediction:
1-0

Match Time & Date:

25 August 2022

18:00

VIEW PREDICTION

Pyunik Yerevan

Pyunik Yerevan

Sheriff Tiraspol play host to Pyunik Yerevan at their Stadionul Sheriff in the Europa League playoffs, return leg. Sheriff Tiraspol did well to hold Pyunik to a goalless draw in Armenia, but they are surely capable of beating Eghishe Melikyan’s troops in front of home fans. A man to watch in the home team will be winger Abou Ouattara, who is likely to prove a handful for t... Read More...

This match will be played on 25 August 2022 at 18:00

Author image
Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert
17 October 2025 • 07:58 UTC • 1 min read
Europa League Predictions

Weekly Europa League Betting Tips

Below you’ll find our weekly Europa League tips across the most popular football betting markets, including Correct Score, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Total Shots on Target, and Match Result. These predictions draw on form analysis, group-stage dynamics, and knockout trends from Europe’s second-tier competition, covering everything from high-profile clashes between former Champions League regulars to tightly contested ties involving underdog clubs.

Europa League Betting Tips

MatchBetting tips
SalzburgSalzburgFerencvarosFerencvaros23/10/2025, 17:45
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
LyonLyonBaselBasel23/10/2025, 17:45
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
GenkGenkBetisBetis23/10/2025, 17:45
  • Correct Score: 2-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 9.5
  • Match Result: Draw
Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead EaglesAston VillaAston Villa23/10/2025, 17:45
  • Correct Score: 0-2
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
FeyenoordFeyenoordPanathinaikosPanathinaikos23/10/2025, 17:45
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
FenerbahceFenerbahceStuttgartStuttgart23/10/2025, 17:45
  • Correct Score: 2-2
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 9.5
  • Match Result: Draw
FCSBFCSBBolognaBologna23/10/2025, 17:45
  • Correct Score: 0-1
  • BTTS: No
  • Over 1.5 Goals: No
  • Total SoT: Over 2.5
  • Match Result: Away Win
BrannBrannRangersRangers23/10/2025, 17:45
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
BragaBragaCrvena ZvezdaCrvena Zvezda23/10/2025, 17:45
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win
Celta VigoCelta VigoNiceNice23/10/2025, 20:00
  • Correct Score: 1-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 4.5
  • Match Result: Draw
AS RomaAS RomaPlzenPlzen23/10/2025, 20:00
  • Correct Score: 2-1
  • BTTS: Yes
  • Over 1.5 Goals: Yes
  • Total SoT: Over 7.5
  • Match Result: Home Win

Europa League Outrights Tips for 2025/2026 Season

Outright betting in the Europa League involves forecasting season-long outcomes such as who will lift the trophy, who will reach the knockout rounds, which clubs will be eliminated entirely under the new format with no drop into the Conference League, or who will finish as the competition’s top scorer. Europa League outright bets are typically placed before the tournament begins, but the markets remain open throughout the campaign to reflect developments such as player transfers, managerial changes, or surprise results in the group stage. The most common Europa League outrights include To Win Outright, To Reach The Final, Group Winner, To Qualify For The Last 16, and Top Goalscorer.

Europa League Outrights Tips for 2025_2026 Season

Below are our expert predictions for the 2025/26 Europa League season.

Who will win the Europa League this season?

Aston Villa are the bookmakers’ favourites at 6/1 (14.3%) to win the 2025/26 Europa League, with Unai Emery’s record in this competition and the squad’s Premier League progress making them a natural frontrunner. Yet in our view, AS Roma at 9/1 (10%) are the most convincing candidate, with Gian Piero Gasperini’s tactical structure, clever recruitment, and a track record of success in European knockout formats giving them an edge. Another club likely to win the Europa League this season is FC Porto at 11/1 (8.3%), whose European pedigree and balanced squad make them one of the most dangerous contenders in the tournament.

More information about the 3 most likely candidates to win the Europa League this season is given below.

  • AS Roma (9/1, 10%). Roma are our top choice to win the Europa League this season. Gian Piero Gasperini has arrived as manager, bringing his trademark tactical flexibility and ability to maximise squad performance in high-pressure European ties. Roma strengthened wisely over the summer with additions such as Leon Bailey and Evan Ferguson, who inject pace and goals into an already well-organised team. Roma’s blend of experience and youth, combined with their ability to thrive in knockout football, makes them the strongest candidate to lift the Europa League trophy in 2025/26.
  • Aston Villa (6/1, 14.3%). Aston Villa are the second strongest candidate to win the Europa League this season. Their run of form in England under Unai Emery has been impressive, and his history in this competition – four-time winner – gives them an advantage few other clubs possess. Aston Villa’s squad is deep enough to handle both domestic and European demands, with a balance between defensive strength and attacking variety that positions Villa as a serious challenger.
  • FC Porto (11/1, 8.3%). FC Porto are the third most likely club to win the Europa League this season. With decades of experience in European competitions, Porto know how to navigate difficult knockout fixtures and balance their squad across campaigns. Porto’s structure remains stable under Francesco Farioli (who signed a two-year contract on 6 July 2025), and their ability to combine technical midfield play with clinical finishing makes them a dangerous opponent for anyone. Porto’s pedigree and depth ensure they are a leading contender for the trophy.

Who is most likely to reach the final in the Europa League this season?

Aston Villa lead the market at 13/5 (27.8%) to reach the Europa League final, reflecting Unai Emery’s record in the competition and the stability brought by retaining Ollie Watkins. Roma follow at 4/1 (20%) with new coach Gian Piero Gasperini and a squad boosted by smart summer additions, giving them the tactical edge in knockout football. Porto at 9/2 (18.2%) and Lille at 10/1 (9.1%) are strong contenders as well, with Porto’s experience and new signings strengthening their case, while Lille look bolstered by the arrival of Olivier Giroud and their proven European pedigree.

More information about the 4 most likely candidates to reach the Europa League final this season is given below.

  • AS Roma (4/1, 20%). Roma are a leading contender to make the Europa League final. The arrival of Gian Piero Gasperini provides a clear tactical identity, one well suited to knockout ties. Summer reinforcements such as Leon Bailey and Evan Ferguson give Roma a mix of pace, creativity, and finishing power to complement their defensive structure. With European experience across the squad and Gasperini’s proven track record, Roma look well equipped to reach the final in the Europa League this season.
  • Aston Villa (13/5, 27.8%). Aston Villa are the bookmakers’ favourites to reach the Europa League final for good reason. Under Unai Emery, Villa have developed into a tactically disciplined side that balances defensive solidity with attacking movement. Retaining Ollie Watkins was crucial, ensuring continuity in attack alongside a squad that has grown in depth after last season’s European run. With Emery’s mastery of this competition, Villa are seen as the most likely to reach the Europa League final this season.
  • FC Porto (9/2, 18.2%). Porto are another strong candidate to reach the final in the Europa League thanks to their European pedigree and intense home support at the Estádio do Dragão. Reinforcements such as Gabri Veiga, Jakub Kiwior, and Luuk de Jong add balance and versatility across the pitch, making Porto dangerous in both midfield control and attacking phases. Porto’s experience in navigating long European campaigns makes them a team no one will want to draw in the Europa League knockout rounds.
  • Lille (10/1, 9.1%). Lille enter the Europa League with ambition and experience, strengthened by the signing of Olivier Giroud, whose presence brings both leadership and a reliable scoring outlet. The club has already proven competitive in European competitions in recent years, and their ability to combine defensive organisation with attacking flair ensures they are more than capable of making a run to the final. While outsiders compared to Villa or Roma, Lille’s mix of experience and new firepower gives them a legitimate shot at becoming Europa League finalists in 2025/26.

Which team is most likely to finish bottom in the Europa League group/league stage?

Go Ahead Eagles are the team most likely to finish bottom in the Europa League group/league stage, largely due to their inexperience in European competition and inconsistent away performances. GAE’s lack of major tournament exposure and modest squad depth leave them vulnerable in a format that rewards consistency and resilience across multiple fixtures.

Go Ahead Eagles are stepping into the Europa League group/league stage with relatively limited experience in European tournaments. While they qualified via domestic cup success, they are far from regulars at this level, which means they lack a history of managing the demands of continental travel, fixture congestion, and the need for squad rotation.

In addition to limited experience, GAE’s away form domestically has been mixed. In recent Eredivisie seasons they have delivered some draws and moderate results but haven’t displayed the kind of stability one expects in tough away fixtures. Moreover, GAE’s squad lacks both depth and the kind of standout talent that rivals will rely on throughout the campaign. In a league stage where every point matters, these limitations increase the risk of dropped results, making them strong candidates to finish at the bottom.

Who is most likely to finish as Top Scorer in the Europa League this season?

Samu, the young Spanish forward playing for FC Porto, looks like one of the strongest contenders to finish as the top scorer in this season’s Europa League. Samu’s combination of physical strength and composed finishing has already made him a standout performer in the Primeira Liga, where he has been scoring freely.

Samu’s impressive form has carried into Europe, where he finished last season among the competition’s joint top scorers with six goals. Porto’s attacking style under Francesco Farioli ensures that Samu receives a steady supply of chances, whether from crosses, pressing transitions, or set pieces, which plays to his strengths as a penalty-box striker. Samu’s reliability from the spot, converting a penalty on his return from injury, is a reminder that he is reliable in high-pressure moments. With Porto among the favourites to reach the later stages of the competition, Samu’s combination of form, service, and confidence makes him the most convincing candidate to finish as Europa League top scorer this season.

Europa League Betting Stats and Data

To guide our Europa League tips and betting advice, FootballPredictions.com reviews long-term statistical records from UEFA’s secondary competition. These records track outcomes such as home wins, away wins, draws, total goals, and BTTS percentages across both the group and knockout stages. The data helps identify consistent patterns, such as the strength of home advantage in Eastern Europe, the tendency for English clubs to thrive in knockout ties, and the scoring trends that shape goal markets. By grounding weekly previews in this data, we provide readers with evidence-based insight into the most popular Europa League betting markets.

Europa League Stats (2025/2026)

Team Type Average Goals Scored
Home Teams 1.39
Away Teams 1.18
Total (Combined) 2.57
35 min/Goal (303 Goals in 118 matches)
59% Clean Sheets (70 times out of 118 matches)
51% Both Teams Scored (60 times out of 118 matches)
Outcome (Full-Time Result) % of Matches
Home Win 43%
Draw 21%
Away Win 36%
Goals % of Matches Over
Over 0.5 90%
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 53%
Over 3.5 27%
Over 4.5 12%
Goals % of Matches Under
Under 0.5 10%
Under 1.5 28%
Under 2.5 47%
Under 3.5 73%
Under 4.5 88%
UEFA Europa League Match Stats (2025/2026)
Shots Per Match 22.96
Shots / Match (Home) 12.92
Shots / Match (Away) 10.03
Fouls Per Match 25.64
Fouls / Match (Home) 12.5
Fouls / Match (Away) 13.14
Offsides Per Match 3.38
Players Participated 1889

Europa League Fixtures

Date Match
05/08/2025, 17:00 Hamrun Spartans 1 - 2 Maccabi Tel Aviv
06/08/2025, 17:00 Rīgas FS 1 - 2 KuPS
06/08/2025, 18:45 Rijeka 1 - 2 Shelbourne
07/08/2025, 16:00 Fredrikstad 1 - 3 Midtjylland
07/08/2025, 16:00 Lincoln Red Imps 1 - 1 Artsakh
07/08/2025, 16:30 CFR Cluj 1 - 2 Sporting Braga
07/08/2025, 16:30 AEK Larnaca 4 - 1 Legia Warszawa
07/08/2025, 17:00 Häcken 0 - 2 Brann
07/08/2025, 17:30 PAOK 0 - 0 Wolfsberger AC
07/08/2025, 18:00 Panathinaikos 0 - 0 Shakhtar Donetsk
07/08/2025, 18:00 Zrinjski 1 - 1 Breidablik
07/08/2025, 18:30 Servette 1 - 3 Utrecht
07/08/2025, 18:30 FCSB 3 - 2 Drita
12/08/2025, 18:45 Shelbourne 1 - 3 Rijeka
14/08/2025, 15:00 KuPS 1 - 0 Rīgas FS
14/08/2025, 16:00 Midtjylland 2 - 0 Fredrikstad
14/08/2025, 17:00 Artsakh 0 - 0 Lincoln Red Imps
14/08/2025, 17:00 Wolfsberger AC 0 - 1 PAOK
14/08/2025, 17:00 Brann 0 - 1 Häcken
14/08/2025, 17:30 Breidablik 1 - 2 Zrinjski
14/08/2025, 18:00 Drita 1 - 3 FCSB
14/08/2025, 18:00 Utrecht 2 - 1 Servette
14/08/2025, 18:00 Maccabi Tel Aviv 3 - 1 Hamrun Spartans
14/08/2025, 18:00 Shakhtar Donetsk 0 - 0 Panathinaikos
14/08/2025, 18:30 Sporting Braga 2 - 0 CFR Cluj
14/08/2025, 19:00 Legia Warszawa 2 - 1 AEK Larnaca
21/08/2025, 16:30 Midtjylland 4 - 0 KuPS
21/08/2025, 17:00 Brann 2 - 1 AEK Larnaca
21/08/2025, 17:00 Malmö FF 3 - 0 Sigma Olomouc
21/08/2025, 18:00 Shkendija 2 - 1 Ludogorets
21/08/2025, 18:00 Zrinjski 0 - 2 Utrecht
21/08/2025, 18:00 Panathinaikos 2 - 1 Samsunspor
21/08/2025, 18:15 Maccabi Tel Aviv 3 - 1 Dynamo Kyiv
21/08/2025, 18:15 Slovan Bratislava 0 - 1 Young Boys
21/08/2025, 18:30 Lech Poznań 1 - 5 KRC Genk
21/08/2025, 18:45 Aberdeen 2 - 2 FCSB
21/08/2025, 18:45 Rijeka 1 - 0 PAOK
21/08/2025, 19:00 Lincoln Red Imps 0 - 4 Sporting Braga
27/08/2025, 16:30 AEK Larnaca 0 - 4 Brann
28/08/2025, 15:00 KuPS 0 - 2 Midtjylland
28/08/2025, 16:30 Sigma Olomouc 0 - 2 Malmö FF
28/08/2025, 17:00 Samsunspor 0 - 0 Panathinaikos
28/08/2025, 17:30 PAOK 5 - 0 Rijeka
28/08/2025, 17:30 Ludogorets 4 - 1 Shkendija
28/08/2025, 18:00 KRC Genk 1 - 2 Lech Poznań
28/08/2025, 18:00 Dynamo Kyiv 1 - 0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
28/08/2025, 18:00 Utrecht 0 - 0 Zrinjski
28/08/2025, 18:00 Young Boys 3 - 2 Slovan Bratislava
28/08/2025, 18:30 FCSB 3 - 0 Aberdeen
28/08/2025, 19:00 Sporting Braga 5 - 1 Lincoln Red Imps

What are Europa League Predictions?

Europa League predictions are expert forecasts of likely outcomes in Europe’s second-tier competition, covering everything from group winners and knockout qualification to outright champions, Top Scorer contenders, and match-specific results. Our football predictions are informed by statistical analysis, tactical assessment, and current form, with the aim of translating complex trends into actionable betting advice for Europa League punters.

Accurate Europa League predictions require an understanding of the competition’s new 36-team league phase, introduced in 2024/25. Each club plays eight matches against opponents drawn from four seeded pots, with the top eight advancing directly to the Round of 16 and those placed 9th–24th entering knockout play-offs. The tournament blends giants from the Premier League, Serie A, La Liga, and the Bundesliga with strong representatives from leagues such as Portugal (Porto, Braga), the Netherlands (Feyenoord, Utrecht), and France (Lille, Lyon, Nice), producing unpredictable encounters. At FootballPredictions.com, our analysts combine data-driven modelling with years of experience following European football to deliver reliable previews and tips throughout the campaign, helping readers navigate one of UEFA’s most competitive and diverse tournaments.

How are Europa League Predictions determined?

At FootballPredictions.com, our analysts create Europa League predictions through a five-step process that blends statistical modelling, tactical assessment, and betting market evaluation, tailored to the unique structure of Europe’s secondary club competition.

The five steps behind our Europa League forecasts are as follows.

  • Establishing the fixture context
  • Measuring team form and underlying metrics
  • Analysing squad availability and depth
  • Factoring in travel, venues, and rivalries
  • Comparing insights with bookmaker odds
  1. Establishing the fixture context. Every Europa League prediction begins with an understanding of the fixture’s setting. We log kick-off times, travel demands, and competition stage, since the dynamics vary greatly between group matches and knockout ties. Knockout ties carry extra tactical caution, while league phase matches often feature rotation when stronger clubs prioritise domestic league schedules or national cup competitions.
  2. Measuring team form and underlying metrics. Once context is clear, we examine performance data such as expected goals (xG), shot quality, and defensive efficiency. The Europa League is known for statistical contrasts, with clubs like Freiburg producing high xG across Europe in their recent campaigns, while sides from smaller leagues often rely on defensive organisation and set pieces. Separating sustainable performance from short-term luck ensures Europa League predictions highlight which clubs are genuinely strong candidates to progress.
  3. Analysing squad availability and depth. Player absences, suspensions, and mid-season transfers often have a heightened impact in the Europa League, where depth varies widely between clubs. A Premier League side like Aston Villa has more resources to rotate than a Belgian or Austrian participant, while a single injury at a smaller club is able to derail a campaign. Understanding how managers adjust their line-ups, whether prioritising domestic survival or European progress, ensures Europa League predictions remain realistic.
  4. Factoring in travel, venues, and rivalries. Home advantage plays a particularly strong role in the Europa League, with Fenerbahçe in Türkiye and Red Bull Salzburg in Austria creating intimidating atmospheres that unsettle visiting sides. Travel distance matters as well, as midweek flights across multiple time zones tends to drain smaller squads. Moreover, rivalries occasionally emerge in later rounds, as seen in Roma’s tense encounters with Italian opponents, where national pride adds another layer of unpredictability when it comes to predicting Europa League match results.
  5. Comparing insights with bookmaker odds. The final step required to shape correct Europa League predictions is testing forecasts against betting markets. By translating bookmaker prices into implied probabilities, we identify when odds misrepresent a team’s true chances. For example, English sides are often priced shorter than their European form justifies, while clubs from Portugal or the Netherlands tend to be undervalued. These gaps between market perception and data-driven projections allow us to highlight value bets, turning analysis into actionable Europa League predictions.

When are Europa League Predictions released?

Europa League predictions are published early in the week ahead of each round of fixtures. Since matches are traditionally played on Thursday evenings, releasing tips a few days in advance gives readers time to review the analysis and track any changes in team news or form before kick-off. This approach ensures forecasts are both timely and reliable, allowing punters to prepare well ahead of matchday.

What are the most appealing Betting Markets to bet on for the Europa League?

The most appealing betting markets for the Europa League are Home Wins, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and Over 1.5 Goals. These three stand out because they align with the competition’s consistent statistical patterns across group and knockout phases. Unlike riskier options such as Correct Score, they provide stronger reliability while still reflecting the open, unpredictable nature of Europa League football. Importantly, they balance long-term accuracy with betting value, making them the most followed by punters.

What are the most appealing Betting Markets to bet on for the Europa League

The 3 most appealing betting markets for the Europa League are outlined below.

  • Home Wins. The Home Wins market remains a central option for Europa League punters, with percentages ranging between 43% and 52% over the last five seasons. The 2023/24 campaign peaked at 52%, confirming the strength of home advantage in European competition. By contrast, draws ranged from 15% to 28%, while away wins fluctuated between 28% and 38%, underlining the edge for hosts. Domestic mismatches, travel fatigue, and packed stadiums often tilt games towards the home side. For example, Atalanta and Bayer Leverkusen both leaned heavily on home dominance during deep runs. This consistent pattern makes Home Wins one of the most attractive markets to follow for Europa League bettors.
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS). BTTS has delivered success in 48% to 60% of matches over the last five seasons of the Europa League, making it a balanced and appealing choice. In comparison, clean sheets are far less common, averaging around 40% to 52%, which demonstrates how often both sides find the net. Matches featuring attacking clubs from Portugal, the Netherlands, and Germany in particular have a high tendency to produce BTTS outcomes, while defensively stronger teams from Italy or Spain push the rate slightly lower. The Europa League’s diversity of playing styles ensures a steady supply of fixtures where BTTS remains a high-value bet.
  • Over 1.5 Goals. Over 1.5 Goals stands out as the most beginner-friendly market in the Europa League. Across the last five campaigns, it has landed in 70% to 80% of matches, with 2020/21 marking the peak at 80%. While profits are smaller due to shorter odds, the high hit rate makes it especially exciting for newcomers seeking steady returns. In contrast, Under 1.5 Goals outcomes occur in just 20% to 30% of fixtures, highlighting how rare low-scoring games are at this level. With goals per game averaging between 2.67 and 3.16, the Europa League consistently produces attacking football, particularly in group stages where defensive gaps are most exposed.

The table below summarises the key Europa League outcomes from the past five seasons across these three markets.

Season Home Wins Draws Away Wins Over 1.5 Goals BTTS Avg. Goals / Match
2020/21 47% 15% 38% 80% 50% 3.05
2021/22 43% 28% 29% 76% 54% 2.71
2022/23 46% 22% 32% 70% 48% 3.05
2023/24 52% 20% 28% 79% 60% 3.16
2024/25 50% 20% 29% 78% 55% 2.86

Europa League Season Guide

UEFA’s Europa League is Europe’s second-tier club competition and, since 2024/25, uses a “league phase” (Swiss-style) format like the Champions League. In this model, there is one 36-team table rather than traditional four-team groups; each club plays eight different opponents (four home, four away) that are drawn to ensure two opponents from each of four seeding pots. The 2025/26 edition is the 55th season and concludes with the final at Beşiktaş Stadium in Istanbul on 20 May 2026. Thirty-six teams contest the league phase after summer qualifying, with knockout rounds beginning in February, and the winners earning a place in the 2026/27 Champions League.

For bettors and analysts, Europa League forecasts often run in parallel with Champions League predictions, since both competitions share the same Swiss-style structure but differ in competitive balance and squad depth. This shared framework means trends observed in the Champions League, such as how elite clubs manage rotation and away form, often inform early-season expectations in the Europa League as well.

What Is the Format of the Europa League 2025/26 Season?

The format of the Europa League begins with a 36-team league phase in which each club plays eight matches against eight different opponents, drawn so that they face two teams from each seeding pot, one at home and one away. After these eight matchdays, the top eight sides from the Europa League progress directly to the Round of 16, while those placed 9th to 24th move into February’s knockout play-offs and the bottom 12 are eliminated. From the Round of 16 to the semi-finals, ties are contested over two legs, with the final held as a single match at a neutral venue.

Key structural elements of the Europa League are worth noting for fans and bettors. The away-goals rule has been scrapped, meaning that ties level on aggregate go to extra time and then penalties. Seeding relies on UEFA club coefficients, and the draw software ensures that teams from the same country are not paired more than twice in the league phase. Finally, the winners of the competition earn automatic entry into the Champions League league phase the following season.

What are the Start & End Dates for the Europa League 2025/26?

The Europa League 2025/26 season runs from 10 July 2025 (first qualifying round) to 20 May 2026 (final in Istanbul). League-phase matchdays are set for 24–25 September, 2 October, 23 October, 6 November, 27 November, 11 December 2025, then 22 January and 29 January 2026. Knockout play-offs follow on 19 & 26 February, the Round of 16 on 12 & 19 March, quarter-finals on 9 & 16 April, and semi-finals on 30 April & 7 May.

Qualifying filled out the league-phase field of the Europa League in July and August (four rounds culminating in play-offs). The league phase spans eight “episodes” across autumn and January — six before the winter break and two after. After the table is finalised on 29 January, teams ranked 9–24 contest two-leg play-offs in February to join the top eight in March’s Round of 16. Finally, the one-off final takes place at Beşiktaş Stadium on Wednesday, 20 May 2026.

How are Europa League Fixtures built up?

Europa League fixtures are produced by a computer-assisted draw – the 36 clubs are split into four pots of nine (by UEFA coefficient). Each team is assigned two opponents from every pot (one home, one away) avoiding same-association opponents and limiting any club to at most two opponents from the same country. Once opponents are set, UEFA’s scheduler generates dates to balance sporting interest and logistics – (1) no club plays more than two home or two away fixtures in a row, (2) across both the first two and last two matchdays each team plays one home and one away, and (3) the league phase of the Europa League tournament opens with an “exclusive week” featuring matches on both Wednesday and Thursday. Standard kick-off slots are 16:30, 18:45 and 21:00 CET/CEST, and all games on the final matchday kick off simultaneously at 21:00 to protect competitive integrity.

Related Leagues We Cover

Stay on top of Europe’s biggest football competitions with our expert predictions for other leagues including the ones below.

  • Champions League Predictions. Our Champions League predictions analyse Europe’s elite teams and their pursuit of continental glory.
  • Europa Conference League Predictions. Europa Conference League forecasts track emerging clubs from across Europe competing for silverware.
  • Premier League Predictions. Premier League coverage examines England’s top division with insights into form, fixtures, and title races.
  • La Liga Predictions. Our La Liga predictions explore Spain’s top teams through tactical analysis and weekly performance data.
  • Serie A Predictions. Serie A forecasts provide a detailed look at Italy’s biggest clubs and the battles shaping the league table.
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