What is our Sturm Graz vs Marseille prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Sturm Graz 2 - 2 Marseille
Sturm Graz vs Marseille Preview
Merkur-Arena will host Thursday's Europa League game as Sturm Graz look to turn their domestic derby-day success into European points. The Austrian side suffered a 3-0 defeat to Bournemouth in round two but responded emphatically by thrashing Grazer AK 6-1 at the weekend. However, goalkeeper Daniil Khudyakov sustained a serious injury in that match, leaving Ammar Helac likely to take his place. Sturm have been reliable on home soil, scoring 2.00 goals per game in their recent home fixtures.
Olympique Marseille, meanwhile, arrive seeking their first points after losing to both Besiktas and Olympiacos in the opening rounds. Their confidence received a boost with a 5-2 Ligue 1 victory over Angers, and Keyliane Abdallah has recovered from a minor injury. Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg is not expected to feature, though, as he continues to train individually. OM have struggled for consistency, conceding 1.67 goals per away game in their recent sample, which could leave them vulnerable in Graz.
As both teams have defensive concerns, but capable of finding the net, our main betting tip leans toward Both Teams to Score. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals and Over 8.5 corners bets should be considered.
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 17:45.
- League
- Europa League
- Kick-off
- Thu 22 Oct 2026, 17:45UK time
Sturm Graz vs Marseille Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Sturm Graz 2-2 Marseille | 11/1 | |
| Double Chance: 1X | 19/20 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Draw / Draw | 11/2 | |
| Asian Handicap: SK Sturm Graz +1 | 11/20 | |
| European Handicap: SK Sturm Graz +1 | 1/5 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Amine Gouiri | 13/10 | |
| First Goalscorer: Amine Gouiri | 5/1 | |
| To be Booked: Jurgen Heil | 11/8 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 8/15 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/6 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 4/7 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals | 11/8 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 2/9 | |
| Marseille Clean Sheet: No | 1/3 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferSturm Graz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlwwdlwlw | 1.70 |
| Home | wdwdw | 2.20 |
| Away | lwlwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.68 | 1.79 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.68 | 1.75 | 1.62 |
Marseille Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllllllwlw | 0.90 |
| Home | wlll | 0.75 |
| Away | llllww | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.56 | 1.62 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.65 | 1.70 | 1.61 |
Sturm Graz vs Marseille Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available





