Stuttgart take on Porto in an eagerly-awaited first-leg Europa League game on Thursday evening. As Stuttgart have turned their MHP Arena into a real fortress, we predict a 2-1 home win. The German side have been impressive this season, particularly at home, where they’ve won four of their last five matches (wwwlw) and average 3.00 goals per game, conceding just 0.80 per match. Key players Jeff Chabot and Bilal El Khannouss return from suspension, boosting Stuttgart’s defense and midfield after their impressive elimination of Celtic in the previous round. Overall, Die Schwaben score in 90% of matches at home, highlighting their attacking potency.
Porto will be without star attacker Samu, who is out for the rest of the season, though they arrive in solid form with three wins in the last five outings (wwwld). Away from home, the Dragons have struggled, winning only 20% of matches, while averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.20, suggesting they may face difficulty breaking down Stuttgart’s disciplined defense. Both teams have seen both teams score in 60% of their games, so a high-intensity, attacking contest is expected. There are no fresh injury worries in the away team following a 2-2 draw with Benfica in the Primeira Liga derby.
Given Stuttgart's strong home record and returning players, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (Stuttgart’s attacking form and Porto’s resilience suggest goals are likely).
This Europa League match will be played on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 17:45.
What is our Stuttgart vs Porto prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Stuttgart 2 - 1 Porto
Stuttgart vs Porto Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Deniz Undav @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Deniz Undav @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: William Carvalho @ 130 Odds
- Asian Handicap: VfB Stuttgart 0 @ -236 Odds
- European Handicap: VfB Stuttgart +1 @ -400 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: VfB Stuttgart to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: VfB Stuttgart to Win/VfB Stuttgart to Win @ 210 Odds
- Clean Sheet: VfB Stuttgart - No @ -200 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Stuttgart vs Porto?
You can place your bets on Stuttgart vs Porto at the following bookmakers:
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferStuttgart Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwlwwdlwd | 2.00 |
| Home | wwwlw | 2.40 |
| Away | wlwdd | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.95 | 2.36 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.25 | 1.05 | 1.44 |
Porto Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwldwwwld | 1.80 |
| Home | wwdww | 2.60 |
| Away | dlwld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.55 | 1.49 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.05 | 0.88 | 1.22 |
Stuttgart vs Porto Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
