Birmingham City and Leeds United face each other in a FA Cup last-32 clash, offering an intriguing Championship vs Premier League matchup. Given the attacking potential of both sides, a high-scoring 2-2 draw is on the cards. Chris Davies' men head into Sunday's game following a 0-0 draw with WBA, though midfielder Seung-Ho Paik is sidelined, with Thomas Doyle expected to step in. The Blues have been solid at home, averaging 2.4 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 20% of recent matches.
Leeds United arrive after a resilient comeback draw with Chelsea, with Daniel James and Noah Okafor likely to start. Despite their Premier League status, Leeds’ away form is inconsistent, scoring just 1.67 goals per game on the road. You should bear in mind that the Whites have suffered only one defeat in the previous seven away games in all competitions.
H2H history slightly favors Birmingham, with 10 wins from 22 meetings, but past encounters often see goals, with 68% over 1.5 goals and 50% both teams to score. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals seems like a sure bet, with additional value on Over 2.5 goals and BTTS.
This FA Cup match will be played on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:00.
What is our Birmingham City vs Leeds United prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Birmingham City 2 - 2 Leeds United
Birmingham City vs Leeds United Betting Tips
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
Where Can You Place Bets on Birmingham City vs Leeds United?
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View OfferBirmingham City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwd | 1.90 |
| Home | dwdwd | 1.80 |
| Away | lwdww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.54 | 1.71 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.28 | 1.22 | 1.35 |
Leeds United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlwd | 1.40 |
| Home | dwlw | 1.75 |
| Away | dlwdd | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.75 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.37 | 1.21 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.46 | 1.54 |
Birmingham City vs Leeds United Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Birmingham City (45%)
22 Matches
Leeds United (41%)
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