Burnley enter this FA Cup tie in high spirits after a dramatic 3-2 comeback win over Crystal Palace, a result that injected belief into their Premier League survival push. As Mansfield will be without key defender, our prediction leans toward 2-1 home win. Scott Parker is expected to rotate, with Bruun Larsen and Foster both pushing for a starting role after impacting recent matches. Burnley’s defensive numbers remain shaky—1.80 goals conceded per game and only one clean sheet in five—but their attacking output at Turf Moor (1.67 goals per game) suggests they will create plenty.
Mansfield, one of League One’s most disciplined and consistent sides, arrive with impressive form: unbeaten in four before the Peterborough loss and boasting excellent away stats (2.20 PPG). However, losing key defender Baily Cargill weakens their normally solid back line. The Yellows concede just 0.40 goals per game at home, but that number jumps significantly on the road, where they allow 1.40.
Burnley’s Premier League pace and physicality should tilt the tie in their favour, but Mansfield’s confidence and strong scoring record (1.70 goals per game) suggest they won’t go quietly. Anyhow, Home Win should be considered as gap in quality is huge. Additionally, Burnley Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total bets should be considered as both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches of late.
This FA Cup match will be played on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Burnley vs Mansfield prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Burnley 2 - 1 Mansfield
Burnley vs Mansfield Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Armando Broja @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Armando Broja @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Louis Reed @ 220 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Mansfield +1.5 @ -122 Odds
- European Handicap: Mansfield +2 @ -125 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Burnley to Win @ -1000 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Burnley to Win/Burnley to Win @ -105 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Burnley - No @ -120 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Burnley vs Mansfield?
You can place your bets on Burnley vs Mansfield at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferBurnley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddllw | 1.00 |
| Home | ldwdl | 1.00 |
| Away | ldlw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.46 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals Against | 2.05 | 1.95 | 2.20 |
Mansfield Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddddl | 1.90 |
| Home | wwddl | 1.60 |
| Away | wwwdd | 2.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.70 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.50 | 1.05 | 1.95 |
Burnley vs Mansfield Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Previous Match Data between these 2 teams are not available
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