Given Burnley's struggles in the Premier League, we predict that they are going to play out a 1-1 draw with Championship side Millwall in the FA Cup last 64. The Clarets welcome the return of Lyle Foster and Hannibal Mejbri from international duty, but their recent form remains a major concern. Vincent Kompany’s side are without a win in five, collecting just 0.20 points per game and failing to score in 40% of their matches. At Turf Moor, the picture is similarly bleak: Burnley average only 0.60 goals scored, while conceding 1.80, and their expected goals of 1.46 suggests they create chances without turning them into goals. Defensive frailty is also evident, with just 20% clean sheets at home.
The Lions, on the other hand, head into Saturday's FA Cup game in far better shape after a morale-boosting 2-1 win over Swansea, and their overall form of 1.80 PPG reflects steady improvement. Away from home, they remain competitive, losing only once in their last four and conceding just 0.75 goals per match. Their away clean-sheet rate of 50% and xGA of 1.36 underline a disciplined defensive structure capable of frustrating fragile opponents.
With Burnley struggling for confidence and efficiency in both boxes, Millwall appear better equipped to control key moments of this FA Cup tie. Anyhow, we believe that there is big value in betting on Draw, alongside Half-Time draw and Under 2.5 goals.
This FA Cup match will be played on Saturday 10 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Burnley vs Millwall prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Burnley 1 - 1 Millwall
Burnley vs Millwall Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Armando Broja @ 187 Odds
- To be booked: Jake Cooper @ 220 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferBurnley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddlld | 0.30 |
| Home | lldld | 0.33 |
| Away | lldl | 0.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.67 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.12 | 1.34 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.67 | 1.66 | 1.69 |
Millwall Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwdw | 1.80 |
| Home | wldww | 2.17 |
| Away | wdld | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 2.67 | 1.25 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.17 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.59 | 1.81 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.46 | 1.36 |
Burnley vs Millwall Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Burnley (46%)
13 Matches
Millwall (23%)
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